|

Politics and Fed minutes to dominate this week - ANZ

Analysts at ANZ explained that this week the data calendar is relatively light, with the key releases being the PMIs of Europe and Japan, although politics dominate. 

Key Quotes:

"In recent months both these regions have been experiencing above-trend industrial momentum. In addition, ‘Fed speak’ and the minutes of the FOMC May meeting could take on added significance as financial markets tussle with the implications of the turmoil besetting the Trump administration."

"Although the statement that accompanied that meeting was upbeat and regarded the weakness in Q1 GDP as transitory, it will be interesting to see the range of debate within the FOMC and whether any members made any explicit reference to a June hike. With regard to the FOMC speakers this week, we think it unlikely any will get drawn into the political fog, and most will stay focused on the economy which is showing evidence of re- accelerating in Q2."

"In the coming weeks the political dynamic and its impact on overall financial conditions will be worth watching closely. If the politics were to take a nasty turn for the worse and have a sustained negative impact on financial markets, then this could make the FOMC’s decision at the 13-14 June meeting less straightforward."

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY stays below 160.50 as markets assess BoJ decision

USD/JPY fluctuates in a relatively narrow range above 160.00 on Tuesday as markets assess the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to raise the policy rate by 25 at the June meeting. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on news coming out of the Middle East, while preparing for the critical Fed meeting.

AUD/USD struggles for direction, still below 0.7100

AUD/USD looks to extend Monday’s recovery, although a challenge to the 0.7100 barrier remains elusive ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The Aussie Dollar was unable to take advantage of the RBA's relatively cautious message, which included keeping its OCR unchanged at 4.35% and leaving the possibility of further tightening in the future.

Gold: $4,000 or $4,500? The Fed may decide Gold’s next big move

Gold now surrenders part of its initial advance and recedes to the vicinity of the $4,350 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The early enthusiasm sparked by the US-Iran peace deal has faded somewhat, prompting investors to adopt a more prudent stance as they await further details of the agreement and key guidance from the Fed.

XRP pulls back as subdued ETF inflows, layered resistance cap upside
Ripple (XRP) remains elevated above $1.23 at the time of writing on Tuesday, struggling amid a capped upside. Despite an improved overall market sentiment driven by news of a peace agreement between the United States and Iran to end the war in the Middle East, capital inflows remain notably subdued.
1% rate, 160 Yen: Why Japan’s historic hike changed little
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) pushed its short-term policy rate to 1% on Tuesday, the highest setting since 1995 and a 31-year milestone in a normalization cycle barely two years old. It is the kind of number that should mark a turning point for the Yen, and it did almost nothing.
Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.