Over the weekend: Trade tensions back on the rise, Brexit set for another lap


Over the weekend, risk-of headlines began to once again leak out of the market headline machines, and the market's Monday open could see riskier assets trading into the low end as Asia trade tensions remain peaked, while the ongoing Brexit process has unraveled to the point that the UK may be finding itself a new Prime Minister.

Key highlights

The US' Vice President Mike Pence reaffirmed over the weekend that America has no intention of changing course on China until China makes massive, structural changes to their economy, with VP Pence bringing additional criticism of China's Belt-and-Road infrastructure policies. The US is slated to "more than double" current tariffs on China, lifting the targeted tariff rate to 25% across the board.

Elsewhere in the Sino region, the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) wrapped up its latest forum held in Papua New Guinea late on Friday, and a lack of consensus amongst the Pacific leaders sees APEC failing to ratify and complete a leadership communique as members failed to come to a group agreement on future progress on multilateral trade terms, and Zhang Shaogang, the director-general of the international division of the Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated that a "chairman's statement" will instead be issued by Papua New Guinea's Foreign Minister Rimbink Pato.

 Over in the UK, the number of letters calling for a no-confidence vote in Prime Minister Theresa May continues to rise, and PM May is warning that a formal leadership contest this late in the game will "delay Brexit". With 20 of the 48 letters required already confirmed, and more on the way, a no-confidence vote could be seen as early as Monday, and according to various sources, PM May's chances of winning an inter-parliamentary vote are looking "bleak", and unnamed sources are warning that officials at Downing Street are contemplating a "kamikaze strategy" that would see PM May encouraging a financial market crash should she lose a first-round vote in an effort to galvanize support for a second-round vote, and the hefty if unverified accusations will do little to provide support for the GBP heading into the new week.

Elsewhere on the Brexit docket, the EU's lead Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, floated the idea over the weekend of pushing out the final Brexit date to December of 2022 with the UK spinning its wheels in the dirt and making little progress, a move that would surely draw even further anger from pro-leavers within the Tories' Brexiteer ranks. On the other side of that same coin, EU leaders have affirmed that, despite the struggles facing PM May within her own parliament, European leaders in Brussels warned they have no interest in reopening the current withdrawal agreement for further discussion, limiting PM May's movement options going forward.

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures