NZD/USD to find support from RBNZ guidance on more aggressive rate path – MUFG

The New Zealand dollar is the top performing G10 currency today and is a response to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) meeting. The RBNZ signalled the need for more aggressive action going forward, which should provide support for the kiwi, according to economists at MUFG Bank.

RBNZ signals higher peak in rates

“Official policy rate was raised as expected by 25bps to 1.00%. We thought there was a high risk of the RBNZ moving 50bps today and the RBNZ did acknowledge that the decision was a close call and that in the future they would not hesitate to move in larger increments if required.”

“The OIS market was already implying a policy rate of around 2.50% prior to today’s meeting and the guidance today has encouraged the market to expect an even higher rate as investors remain wary of central banks possibly being behind the curve and having to do more. That will likely keep NZD well supported over the short-term.”