NZD/USD rises above 0.5900, bears still in command

NZD/USD rose back above 0.5900, displaying nearly 0.20% gains.
The USD DXY and US yields are retreating after sharply rising on Friday following Powell’s speech.
Eyes on labour market and economic activity figures from the US.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

On Monday, the NZD/USD gained traction and rose above 0.5900. No relevant data was released for the US and New Zealand and the upward momentum can be explained by the USD slightly retreating against its rivals, consolidating Thursday and Friday’s gains.

Markets are still assessing Jerome Powell’s words on Friday. He didn’t commit to another hike and addressed that the monetary policy is still data-dependant and the data justifies another hike. In addition, he stated that the economy hasn’t cooled down as expected and that they will retain rates at restrictive levels until inflation shows signs of deceleration.

All eyes are now on the US economic calendar releases this week, which include mid and high-tier labour market figures, including JOLTs Job Openings figures from July and ADP Employment Change and Nonfarm Payrolls from August. In addition, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), ISM PMI and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) will also be closely watched for investors to model their expectations for the next Fed meetings.

In the meantime, according to the CME FedWatch tool, the odds of a hike in September are still low, but the probabilities increased nearly 50% for the November meeting.

NZD/USD Levels to watch

Based on the daily chart, it is evident that NZD/USD leans toward a bearish outlook in the short term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below its midline, deep in negative territory, showcasing a neutral slope near the oversold threshold. Similarly, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) exhibits red bars, emphasizing the strengthening bearish momentum for NZD/USD. Also, the pair is below the 20,100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), indicating a challenging position for the buyers in the bigger picture as the bears remain in command.

Support levels: 0.5900, 0.5870, 0.5850.

Resistance levels: 0.5940, 0.5950, 0.5980.

NZD/USD Daily Chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.5909
Today Daily Change	0.0006
Today Daily Change %	0.10
Today daily open	0.5903

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6011
Daily SMA50	0.6125
Daily SMA100	0.6152
Daily SMA200	0.6227

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.5943
Previous Daily Low	0.5885
Previous Weekly High	0.5987
Previous Weekly Low	0.5885
Previous Monthly High	0.6413
Previous Monthly Low	0.612
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.5907
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.5921
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.5878
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.5852
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.582
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.5936
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.5968
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.5994

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1650 amid weaker US Dollar

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1650 in the European session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut at its December meeting on Wednesday keeps the US Dollar undermined across the board, supporting the pair amid strong German Industrial Production data. Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence data is next in focus.

GBP/USD consolidates above 1.3300 as traders await Fed rate decision

GBP/USD kicks off the new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow trading band above 1.3300 in European trading on Monday. The pair, however, remains close to the highest level since October 22, with bulls awaiting a sustained strength on a potential dovish Fed verdict due later this Wednesday.

Gold holds firm above $4,200; awaits Fed rate decision on Wednesday before the next leg up

Gold sticks to its modest intraday gains through the early European session, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains confined in a one-week-old trading range. The growing acceptance that the US Federal Reserve will lower borrowing costs again this week keeps the US Dollar depressed near a one-month low and acts as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds.

The Silver disconnection is real

Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.