|

NZD/USD retreats from weekly tops, steadies around mid-0.60s

  • Risk-on atmosphere helps kiwi find demand on Monday.
  • US Dollar Index starts consolidating last week's gains. 
  • Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index drops to record low in April.

The positive market mood at the start of the week helped the risk-sensitive NZD find demand and helped the NZD/USD pair advance to its highest level in a week at 0.6076.

However, ahead of this week's key macroeconomic data releases and central bank announcements, the trading action turned subdued and the pair was has gone into a consolidation phase near 0.6050, where it was up 0.6% on a daily basis.

USD struggles to find demand on Monday

Renewed hopes of major economies inching closer to reopening amid some apparent signs of a slowdown in the pace of coronavirus contagions provided a boost to the market sentiment at the start of the week. Major Asian and European equity markets closed the day with strong gains and Wall Street's main indexes opened higher. Mirroring the risk-on atmosphere, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield rose sharply and now looks to end the day more than 9% higher. 

Meanwhile, the only data from the US showed that the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index slumped to a fresh all-time low of -73.7 in April from -70 in March but was largely ignored by the market participants. Nevertheless, the US Dollar Index retraced a portion of last week's gains and dropped to the 100 area to allow the pair to cling to its daily gains.

On Tuesday, Trade Balance data from the US and New Zealand will be looked upon for fresh impetus but the pair is likely to stay confined in a range ahead of the FOMC's policy announcements on Wednesday.

Technical levels to watch for

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6059
Today Daily Change0.0042
Today Daily Change %0.70
Today daily open0.6017
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5993
Daily SMA500.6087
Daily SMA1000.6333
Daily SMA2000.637
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6022
Previous Daily Low0.5975
Previous Weekly High0.6092
Previous Weekly Low0.5911
Previous Monthly High0.645
Previous Monthly Low0.547
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6004
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5993
Daily Pivot Point S10.5987
Daily Pivot Point S20.5958
Daily Pivot Point S30.594
Daily Pivot Point R10.6034
Daily Pivot Point R20.6052
Daily Pivot Point R30.6082

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.