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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Struggles for a confident move ahead of Fed policy

  • NZD/USD gathers strength for an ascending triangle pattern breakout ahead of Fed policy.
  • The NZ economy is seen growing by 0.5% in Q2 vs. a contraction of 0.1%, recorded for the January-March quarter.
  • The US Dollar Index remains subdued as the Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50%.

The NZD/USD pair trades sideways in a narrow range of 0.5932-0.5944 in the European session. The Kiwi asset struggles for a direction as investors await the interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is expected to remain unchanged.

S&P500 futures generated marginal gains in the London session. However, the overall market mood is quiet ahead of the Fed policy meeting. The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains subdued as the Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50% but hawkish guidance cannot be ruled out.

Meanwhile, the New Zealand Dollar will remain in action ahead of the q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. As per the expectations, the NZ economy grew by 0.5% vs. a contraction of 0.1%, being recorded for the January-March quarter. The annual GDP is seen accelerating at a slower pace of 1.2% vs. the former reading of 2.2%.

NZD/USD attempts to deliver a breakout of the Ascending Triangle chart pattern formed on a two-hour scale. The horizontal resistance of the aforementioned chart pattern is plotted from September 6 high at 0.5942 while the upward-sloping trendline is placed from September 7 low at 0.5847.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.5932 is providing a cushion to the New Zealand Dollar.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) attempts to shift into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00. If the RSI (14) manages to do so, a bullish momentum will get triggered.

Going forward, a decisive break above September 14 high at 0.5945 would expose the asset to August 23 high around 0.5980, followed by August 8 low around 0.6035.

On the contrary, a breakdown below September 13 low at 0.5980 would drag the major toward September 7 low at 0.5847. A slippage below the latter would expose the asset to the round-level support at 0.5800.

NZD/USD two-hour chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5942
Today Daily Change0.0006
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open0.5936
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5921
Daily SMA500.6043
Daily SMA1000.6106
Daily SMA2000.6195
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5948
Previous Daily Low0.5904
Previous Weekly High0.5945
Previous Weekly Low0.588
Previous Monthly High0.6219
Previous Monthly Low0.5885
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.5931
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5921
Daily Pivot Point S10.5911
Daily Pivot Point S20.5886
Daily Pivot Point S30.5868
Daily Pivot Point R10.5955
Daily Pivot Point R20.5973
Daily Pivot Point R30.5998

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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