|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Kiwi steadies after a prolonged sell-off but downside risks persist

  • NZD/USD edged higher, pausing its five-day losing streak, but gains remain limited.
  • After losing the 20-day SMA and reaching its lowest level since mid-February, the pair stabilized as selling pressure eased.
  • Resistance is seen at 0.5680, while support lies near 0.5580; indicators suggest a fragile recovery.

NZD/USD posted a mild gain on Monday after a prolonged losing streak, as the pair found some stability following its recent sell-off. Despite the brief upside move, the broader trend remains bearish, with the pair trading well below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The downtrend has been reinforced by technical signals, suggesting that any bullish attempt might face strong resistance.

Momentum indicators highlight the fragility of the recovery. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is turning higher but remains in negative territory, indicating that selling pressure is not yet fully exhausted. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has crossed below its signal line, a bearish development that hints at continued downside risks.

From a technical perspective, the pair now faces immediate resistance at 0.5680, aligning with the 20-day SMA. A sustained move above this level could provide some breathing room for the bulls. On the downside, support emerges near 0.5580, a level that, if breached, could accelerate declines toward the 0.5540 region.

NZD/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims intraday gains, stays flat around 1.1630

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel on Monday. Investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of this week's critical Fed policy meeting, allowing the pair to stay in a consolidation phase following two consecutive weeks of bullish action. US Dollar gains ground as risk aversion kicks in. 

GBP/USD edges lower toward 1.3300 as markets turn cautious

GBP/USD corrects lower toward 1.3300 on Monday after posting gains in the previous week. The markets adopt a cautious stance ahead of the highly-anticipated Fed meeting, making it difficult for the pair to gather bullish momentum. 

Gold remains seases below $4,200 as markets gear up for Fed

Gold turned south after Wall Street's opening, trading south of $4,200. The US Dollar finds additional legs on a souring mood on Monday as market participants prepare for the upcoming Fed meeting, which will provide key insights into the short-term policy outlook.

RBA expected to hold interest rate amid rising inflation, steady economic growth

The Reserve Bank of Australia is on track to leave the Official Cash Rate unadjusted at 3.6%, following the conclusion of its December monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. The decision will be announced at 03:30 GMT, accompanied by the Monetary Policy Statement. RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s press conference will follow at 04:30 GMT.

The Silver disconnection is real

Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.

Top 3 Price Predictions: Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).