|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Kiwi gains key zone, victory not there yet

  • NZD/USD was seen trading around the 0.5825 zone ahead of the Asian session, extending its bullish momentum.
  • The pair surged past the 20-day SMA, though traders should monitor 0.5700, where a bearish crossover between the 20 and 100-day SMAs could develop.
  • Immediate resistance stands near 0.5850, while initial support lies around 0.5750, with a critical level at 0.5700.

NZD/USD continued its strong performance on Monday ahead of the Asian session, gaining traction and trading near the 0.5825 area. Bulls propelled the pair higher, breaching the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and reinforcing the bullish outlook. However, market participants should remain cautious as a potential bearish crossover between the 20 and 100-day SMAs around 0.5700 could threaten the rally.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen sharply into near-overbought territory, currently hovering around 68, suggesting strong bullish momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is printing rising green bars, signaling increasing buyer strength. While the technical picture remains favorable for further gains, traders should watch for potential signs of exhaustion at current levels.

On the upside, immediate resistance is seen at 0.5850, with a breakout above this level opening the door to 0.5900. Meanwhile, initial support lies at 0.5750, followed by a crucial floor at 0.5700, where a bearish SMA crossover could add downward pressure. If the pair slips below this threshold, the outlook could shift in favor of the bears.

NZD/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds losses above 0.7100 amid risk aversion

AUD/USD is off the lows but remains in the red above 0.7100 in Friday's Asian trading. Broad risk-aversion amid US-Iran uncertainty, combined with weak Australian GDP data, weighs heavily on the higher-yielding Australian Dollar. All eyes now remain on the US NFP report for fresh impetus.

USD/JPY coiling up around 160.00 amid 'Yentervention' threats

USD/JPY sits glued near 160.00 in Asia on Friday, as the Japanese Yen remains supported by persistent 'Yentervention' threats by Japan's officials. However, the pair's downside remains capped by the Mideast tensions-led risk-off mood and the US Dollar's bullish consolidation.

Gold keeps testing 200-day SMA ahead of the key US NFP data

Gold is reversing a part of the previous rebound early Friday, back around the $4,450 level as markets trade with caution amid a deadlock in the Gulf conflict and ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls data release.  


RBI keeps repo rate unchanged in June: What 5.25% means for the Indian Rupee this week

The Reserve Bank of India decided to keep the repo rate unchanged at 5.25% after concluding the June monetary policy meeting on Friday. The decision aligned with the market expectations.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.