|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Kiwi drops post-testing strength of the consolidation breakdown

  • NZD/USD has dropped firmly after sensing deep selling interest while testing the consolidation breakdown.
  • Investors’ risk-taking capacity is dropping ahead of the interest rate decision by the Fed.
  • The 20-EMA has acted as a major barricade for the New Zealand Dollar.

The NZD/USD pair has resumed its downside journey after a pullback move to near 0.6440 in the Asian session. The kiwi asset is unable to keep up its feet amid the release of lower-than-anticipated New Zealand Employment data. The major has shifted into a negative trajectory as the strength of the cheerful market mood is fading away.

S&P500 futures are facing heat in the Asian session despite a bullish Tuesday ahead of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed), and United States ADP Employment and ISM Manufacturing PMI data. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to build a cushion around 101.70 after a declining move.

NZD/USD has sensed selling interest after testing the strength of the consolidation breakdown in the 0.6450-0.6470 range on a four-hour scale. Earlier, the Kiwi asset shifted into a negative trajectory after delivering a downside break of the Rising Wedge chart pattern, which indicates a bearish reversal after a loss in the upside momentum.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6463 has acted as a major barricade for the New Zealand Dollar.

In addition to that, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which conveys an activation of the downside momentum.

For the downside move, a breakdown below January 31 low at 0.6412 will drag the Kiwi asset toward January 17 low at 0.6366 followed by January 12 low around 0.6300.

On the flip side, the asset needs to surpass Wednesday’s high at 0.6530 for a resumption in the upside, which will drive the asset toward June 3 high at 0.6576. A breach of the latter will expose the asset to the round-level resistance at 0.6600.

NZD/USD four-hour chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6432
Today Daily Change-0.0033
Today Daily Change %-0.51
Today daily open0.6465
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6413
Daily SMA500.6359
Daily SMA1000.6093
Daily SMA2000.6192
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6479
Previous Daily Low0.6412
Previous Weekly High0.6526
Previous Weekly Low0.6437
Previous Monthly High0.6531
Previous Monthly Low0.619
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6438
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6454
Daily Pivot Point S10.6425
Daily Pivot Point S20.6385
Daily Pivot Point S30.6358
Daily Pivot Point R10.6492
Daily Pivot Point R20.6519
Daily Pivot Point R30.6559

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eyes 1.1800 barrier near two-month highs

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 1.1780 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 68.89 sits near overbought, signaling strong demand. RSI remains elevated, which could cap gains if overbought conditions emerge.

GBP/USD knocks ten-week highs ahead of holiday slowdown

GBP/USD found room on the high side on Monday, kicking off a holiday-shortened trading week with a fresh spat of Greenback weakness, bolstering the Pound Sterling into its highest bids in ten weeks. Pound traders are largely brushing off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England as the UK’s central bank policy strategy leaves the water murky for rate-cut watchers.

Gold bulls seem unstoppable amid supportive fundamental backdrop

Gold is seen building on the previous day's strong rally of over 2% and continues scaling new all-time highs for the second consecutive day on Tuesday. The commodity climbs closer to the $4,500 psychological mark during the Asian session and remains well supported by a combination of factors. 

Uniswap holds above $6 as traders eye UNIfication vote outcome

Uniswap price holds above $6 at the time of writing on Tuesday after closing above a key resistance zone in the previous week. Traders are focusing on the highly anticipated UNIfication proposal, which is set to conclude on Thursday, and could become a key near-term catalyst. On the technical side, momentum indicators are flashing bullish signals, hinting at an upside rally.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.