|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Kiwi drops post-testing strength of the consolidation breakdown

  • NZD/USD has dropped firmly after sensing deep selling interest while testing the consolidation breakdown.
  • Investors’ risk-taking capacity is dropping ahead of the interest rate decision by the Fed.
  • The 20-EMA has acted as a major barricade for the New Zealand Dollar.

The NZD/USD pair has resumed its downside journey after a pullback move to near 0.6440 in the Asian session. The kiwi asset is unable to keep up its feet amid the release of lower-than-anticipated New Zealand Employment data. The major has shifted into a negative trajectory as the strength of the cheerful market mood is fading away.

S&P500 futures are facing heat in the Asian session despite a bullish Tuesday ahead of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed), and United States ADP Employment and ISM Manufacturing PMI data. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to build a cushion around 101.70 after a declining move.

NZD/USD has sensed selling interest after testing the strength of the consolidation breakdown in the 0.6450-0.6470 range on a four-hour scale. Earlier, the Kiwi asset shifted into a negative trajectory after delivering a downside break of the Rising Wedge chart pattern, which indicates a bearish reversal after a loss in the upside momentum.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6463 has acted as a major barricade for the New Zealand Dollar.

In addition to that, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which conveys an activation of the downside momentum.

For the downside move, a breakdown below January 31 low at 0.6412 will drag the Kiwi asset toward January 17 low at 0.6366 followed by January 12 low around 0.6300.

On the flip side, the asset needs to surpass Wednesday’s high at 0.6530 for a resumption in the upside, which will drive the asset toward June 3 high at 0.6576. A breach of the latter will expose the asset to the round-level resistance at 0.6600.

NZD/USD four-hour chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6432
Today Daily Change-0.0033
Today Daily Change %-0.51
Today daily open0.6465
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6413
Daily SMA500.6359
Daily SMA1000.6093
Daily SMA2000.6192
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6479
Previous Daily Low0.6412
Previous Weekly High0.6526
Previous Weekly Low0.6437
Previous Monthly High0.6531
Previous Monthly Low0.619
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6438
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6454
Daily Pivot Point S10.6425
Daily Pivot Point S20.6385
Daily Pivot Point S30.6358
Daily Pivot Point R10.6492
Daily Pivot Point R20.6519
Daily Pivot Point R30.6559

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off four-day lows, still below 1.3500

GBP/USD sticks to the bearish tone on Thursday, coming down to the 1.3480 region in the latter part of the NA session. In the meantime, Cable’s weakness comes as investors continue to assess mixed UK data, poor US results, and the persistent uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict.

EUR/USD looks apathetic around 1.1530

EUR/USD reverses Wednesday’s downtick and trades with modest gains in the 1.1530 region following the end of the NA session on Thursday. The pair’s tepid advance comes on the back of the absence of clear direction in the US Dollar despite tensions from the Middle East appear far from alleviated. Later on Friday, investors are expected to monitor the the releases of another revision of GDP figures in the Euroland, US Retail Sales and the preliminary U-Mich gauge.

Gold loses the grip, recedes toward $4,350

Gold extends its intraday pullback on Thursday, retesting the $4,350 zone per troy ounce, or three-day troughs. Meanwhile, the yellow metal continues to monitor developments from the Middle East as well as bets surrounding the potential Fed’s rate path.

Ethereum Price Forecast: Fidelity plans to add staking to ETH ETF amid yield debate
Asset manager Fidelity has filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to permit staking in its Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded fund (ETF), the Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH), which holds over $898 million in net assets.
Why credit markets aren’t pricing $570B of AI debt

Forecasts put global artificial intelligence related debt issuance near $570 billion this year, with roughly $236 billion of it priced by the end of May at four times the prior year's pace. Data centre securitisation alone has gone from about $4 billion a year through 2022 to roughly $10 billion in each of 2023 and 2024, and then $27 billion in 2025.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.