|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls eye 0.5580s

  • NZD/USD bulls could be back in play for the day ahead. 
  • The bulls eye a return to the middle of the sell-off. 

As per the prior day's analysis, the price has moved lower and we start the middle of the week on the back foot. The Kiwi is at a new cycle low ahead of key US Consumer Price Index data on Thursday night.

The driving force is US rates but the inflation risks in New Zealand could be contained by a hawkish central bank, offering support tot he bird. this gives rise to prospects of a correction for the day ahead in NZD/USD as the following analysis leans towards.

Prior analysis, NZD/USD 

The price was attempting to slide out of the resistance of the dynamic bearish trendline that was formed on the back of the NFP data on Friday and that  the bulls needed to clear 0.5625 to put a firm grip on the baton:

NZD/USD update, M15 chart

However, as the analysis illustrated if the bulls were unable to get above there, then the downside would be in play and that is what we got. The price sank, as expected, and the question now is whether this is going to be the high or low for the week. Given the number of catalysts on the calendar, perhaps not. However, in the meanwhile, the double bottom could be significant, at least for the Asian day ahead on Wednesday. 

A break of the dynamics trendline resistance could be an opportunity for traders to look for a discount and target a significant correction towards the midpoint of the day's range near 0.5585 on a break of 0.5575. Bearish below 0.5550. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).