|

NZD/USD pressured below recent daily highs ahead of key events

  • NZD/USD pressured on Friday by both domestic and global themes.
  • The upcoming week will be full of event risk.
  • The Fed is expected to hike 25bp in December

NZD/USD is currently trading at 0.6796 and below the week's starting high of 0.6807 with top side pressures as the pair extends the correction of December's high of 0.6969.

The bird was pressured on Friday by both domestic and global themes while analysts at ANZ Bank noted that the upcoming week will be full of event risk. "The main event is likely to be the FOMC decision, although local Q3 GDP figures will drive price action if there is any significant surprise. There is also the ever-present impact of global risk sentiment."

The Fed is expected to hike 25bp in December but they may also remove guidance and slightly reduce the near-term dots. The markets are expecting the Fed to emphasize a data dependent and risk management approach. "Chair Powell will try to soothe markets by stressing that the Fed wants to extend the business cycle and thus will proceed slowly and deliberately. We expect a modestly dovish market reaction," analysts at TD Securities explained.

NZD/USD levels

  • Support 0.6820 
  • Resistance 0.6980

NZD/USD slid below the 200-D SMA located at 0.6844 and is risking a slide to the 38.2% retracement Fibo en route for a test of the 100-D SMA down at 0.6670. S2 is located at 0.6227 ahead of 0.6676 as S3. On a break higher, the bird can head towards the 61.8% Fibo at 0.7048. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar comeback in the makes?

The US Dollar stands victorious at the end of another week, with the EUR/USD pair trading near a four-week low of 1.1742, while the USD retains its strength despite some discouraging American data released at the end of the week. The pair edged higher on Friday, after the United States Supreme Court ruled against President Donald Trump's tariffs, although the advance is not enough to change the latest USD flow.

GBP/USD braces for more pain, as 200-day SMA tested

GBP/USD broke the previous week’s consolidation to the downside, as sellers returned with pomp, smashing the major back toward the levels last seen in late January. The pair tested bids below the 1.3450 barrier as the US Dollar strength largely played out throughout the week, while the Pound Sterling stepped back on expectations of divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Week ahead: Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness. Yen and aussie diverge; both pound and euro could recoup their losses.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.