|

NZD/USD hits one-month high, looks to build on momentum beyond mid-0.600s

  • NZD/USD touches a one-month peak on Wednesday and is supported by a softer USD.
  • Reduced bets for more rate hike by the Fed and a positive risk tone weighs on the buck.
  • Investors now look to the US PPI and the FOMC minutes for some meaningful impetus.

The NZD/USD pair attracts some follow-through buying for the sixth successive day on Wednesday and climbs to a one-month high, just above mid-0.6000s during the Asian session.

The US Dollar (USD) remains on the defensive in the wake of reduced bets for further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the NZD/USD pair. Relatively subdued US wage growth data released on Friday eased inflationary concerns, which, along with the dovish remarks by several Fed officials suggested that the US central bank will soften its hawkish stance.

According to the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), Fed officials are signalling that a run-up in long-term interest rates might substitute for a further central bank rate hike. This leads to a further decline in the US Treasury bond yields and continues to undermine the Greenback. Apart from this, a generally positive risk tone turns out to be another factor weighing on the safe-haven buck and benefitting the risk-sensitive Kiwi.

With the latest leg up, the NZD/USD pair has rallied nearly 200 pips from the monthly low, around the 0.5870 region touched last week, though lacks strong follow-through. The markets are still pricing in the possibility of at least one more Fed rate hike move by the end of this year. This, along with concerns about escalating geopolitical tension in the Middle East, could help limit the downside for the USD and keep a lid on the major.

Traders might also prefer to wait for the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and the FOMC monetary policy meeting minutes, due later during the North American session. The focus will then shift to the latest US consumer inflation figures on Thursday, This might provide fresh cues about the Fed's future rate-hike path, which will influence the USD price dynamics and provide a fresh directional impetus to the NZD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6048
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open0.6046
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5949
Daily SMA500.5957
Daily SMA1000.6061
Daily SMA2000.6167
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.605
Previous Daily Low0.5993
Previous Weekly High0.6009
Previous Weekly Low0.587
Previous Monthly High0.605
Previous Monthly Low0.5847
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6028
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6015
Daily Pivot Point S10.6009
Daily Pivot Point S20.5973
Daily Pivot Point S30.5952
Daily Pivot Point R10.6066
Daily Pivot Point R20.6087
Daily Pivot Point R30.6123

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates near 0.7000 as USD stays weak

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during Thursday’s Asian session, consolidating the previous day’s recovery gains from a near three-week low as the Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections and Iran diplomacy hopes continue to weigh on the US Dollar. Bulls, however, seem hesitant as focus shifts to Friday’s crucial US NFP report.

USD/JPY drifts lower to 158.25 on hawkish BoJ Minutes, weak USD

USD/JPY trades with a negative bias for the second straight day on Thursday as hawkish BoJ Minutes, showing members agreed to keep raising rates, and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, US midterm election results and hopes for Iran diplomacy keep the US Dollar depressed as focus shifts to Friday’s US NFP report.

Gold trims gains, returns to $4,100

Gold now surrenders part of its initial bull run and appears on its way to challenge the key $4,100 region per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal extends it recovery on the back of the tepid advance in the Greenback and mixed US Treasury yields following the US midterm elections.

TRUMP token hits record low amid mounting selling pressure

Ripple and Stellar extend their recovery as bearish pressure begins to ease for both altcoins. XRP trades above $1.30 after breaking above the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, while XLM holds above $0.168 and approaches resistance at $0.173. Meanwhile, improving derivatives metrics and strengthening momentum indicators hint at a potential for further recovery.

NFP stress test: Six payrolls releases, measured in daily-loss limits

Friday's US employment report is usually previewed in terms of the headline number and the reaction in the Dollar. For a growing group of traders, those running funded or evaluation accounts with a fixed daily loss limit, there is a more practical question: how much of that limit can the first hour consume, regardless of direction?

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.