|

NZD/USD heading back towards 0.5800 as Greenback sees Friday bids

  • The NZD/USD is back into Friday's lows as the US Dollar sees a late bid on Friday.
  • The Kiwi continues to face topside rejection as broader markets choose safer havens.
  • Kiwi traders will be looking ahead to next Tuesday's NZ labor figures.

The NZD/USD is ticking back towards 0.5800 heading into the Friday market close, falling back from the day's peak near 0.5845 as traders step back into the Greenbac, tilting risk-off to wrap up the trading week.

The Kiwi hit a new eleven-month low this week, tapping 0.5772 on Thursday, and the NZD/USD is seeing resistance clamping off a successful rebound bid.

US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Index figures came in at expectations, and markets will be turning eyes towards next week's showing from the Federal Reserve (Fed), where the US central bank is broadly expected to hold off on rate hikes.

Investors will be keeping close watch of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech slated for half an hour after the Fed's rate call, and market participants will be keeping an ear out for any changes to the Fed's rhetoric. Despite the expected rate hold, markets continue to see increasing odds of one last rate hike from the Fed in December as inflationary pressure continue to stick higher than markets had expected or hoped for.

Next week also sees New Zealand labor data late Tuesday. The NZ Unemployment Rate is expected to tick up from 3.6% to 3.9% for the 3rd quarter, and investors are expecting the NZ Employment Change to slowdown hiring, with Q3 new jobs expected to increase by only 0.4% compared to Q2's 1.0% even print.

NZD/USD Technical Outlook

The NZD/USD continues to face rejection from the 200-hour Simple Moving Average SMA), seeing a bounce back from the technical barrier twice this week, and Kiwi traders are struggling to find technical reasons to bid the NZD back up from the year's new lows near 0.5770.

Daily candlesticks see the NZD/USD trading firmly into the downside, tumbling from the last swing high into 0.6050, but overeager bulls looking to catch falling knives will probably want to wait until a bullish crossover signal on the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) currently settling into oversold territory with directional momentum bleeding towards the midrange.

NZD/USD Hourly Chart

NZD/USD Technical Outlook

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5811
Today Daily Change-0.0010
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open0.5821
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5914
Daily SMA500.5922
Daily SMA1000.6038
Daily SMA2000.6138
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5832
Previous Daily Low0.5772
Previous Weekly High0.5931
Previous Weekly Low0.5815
Previous Monthly High0.605
Previous Monthly Low0.5847
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.5809
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5795
Daily Pivot Point S10.5785
Daily Pivot Point S20.5748
Daily Pivot Point S30.5725
Daily Pivot Point R10.5845
Daily Pivot Point R20.5868
Daily Pivot Point R30.5905

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays defensive below 0.7150 after Chinese data

AUD/USD remains on the back foot below 0.7150 in the Asian session on Tuesday, close to an over three-week low touched the previous day. US bond yields hold near multi-year highs ahead of the FOMC meeting and oil-driven inflation risks, supporting the US Dollar and weighing on the currency pair. Mixed Chinese activity data for August also fail to inspire the Aussie.

USD/JPY extends gains toward 155.00 amid USD resurgence

USD/JPY keeps pushing higher toward 155.00 early Tuesday, looking for more upside, as traders await the FOMC and BoJ meetings this week. Meanwhile, Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation risks keep US bond yields near multi-year highs, supporting the US Dollar and the pair. That said, a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ normalization path might continue to underpin the Japanese Yen and could limit USD/JPY's upside. .

$4,275: Gold skating on thin ice as eyes remain on Mideast conflict, Fed

Gold is briefly regaining $4,300 early Tuesday, looking to build on a tepid recovery from six-week troughs near $4,250. Traders are monitoring the widening conflict in the Middle East ahead of the two-day US Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting later in the day.

Bitcoin remains volatile amid CLARITY Act vote – Zcash, Stellar rally

Bitcoin holds steady around $78,000 on Tuesday, sustaining its roughly 2% recovery from the previous day. Broader cryptocurrency market volatility remains elevated ahead of the scheduled CLARITY Act cloture vote on Tuesday. Zcash and Stellar retain bullish momentum, emerging as the top performers over the last 24 hours.

Hard assets are entering their next explosive phase – Are you positioned?
It’s official: Commodities and Hard Assets have become the best-performing asset class of 2026. In a year defined by persistent inflation, geopolitical conflict, rising sovereign debt and intensifying supply disruption, capital is rotating aggressively into the one area governments cannot print and central banks cannot manufacture: scarce physical assets.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.