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NZD/USD flirts with multi-day lows, just above 0.7200 level

  • NZD/USD staged a modest bounce from sub-0.7200 levels, albeit lacked any follow-through.
  • A combination of factors benefitted the USD and capped the attempted intraday recovery.
  • Dovish comments by Fed’s Clarida were offset by surging US bond yields, stronger US CPI.
  • The prevalent risk-off mood exerted some additional pressure on the perceived riskier kiwi.

The NZD/USD pair stalled its early North American session bounce near the 0.7245 region and dropped back closer to daily lows, albeit has still managed to hold above the 0.7200 mark.

The pair witnessed some heavy selling and momentarily slipped below the 0.7200 mark, or four-day lows in reaction to hotter-than-expected US consumer inflation figures. In fact, the headline CPI posted the largest rise since September 2008 and accelerated to 4.2% YoY in April. Apart from this, the core CPI also surpassed expectations and jumped 3.0% YoY from 1.6% recorded in the previous month.

The data added to the market worries that the rapid rise in inflation may be something more than transitory and could push the Fed to tighten its policy earlier than expected. This, in turn, provided a strong lift to the US dollar and exerted some heavy pressure on the NZD/USD pair. The USD, however, lost some traction after Fed Governor Richard Clarida reiterated that inflation above 2% is due to transitory factors and highlighted uncertainty about the near-term labour market outlook.

That said, a sharp spike in the US Treasury bond yields acted as a tailwind for the greenback. This, along with the prevalent risk-off mood, further underpinned the USD's relative safe-haven status. The anti-risk flow was evident from an extended selloff in the global equity markets, which was seen as another factor that weighed on the perceived riskier kiwi. However, the lack of any strong follow-through selling warrants some caution before positioning for any further depreciating move.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7212
Today Daily Change-0.0060
Today Daily Change %-0.83
Today daily open0.7272
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7206
Daily SMA500.7139
Daily SMA1000.717
Daily SMA2000.6962
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.729
Previous Daily Low0.7251
Previous Weekly High0.7301
Previous Weekly Low0.7115
Previous Monthly High0.7287
Previous Monthly Low0.6945
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7266
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7275
Daily Pivot Point S10.7252
Daily Pivot Point S20.7232
Daily Pivot Point S30.7213
Daily Pivot Point R10.7291
Daily Pivot Point R20.731
Daily Pivot Point R30.733

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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