NZD/USD flirts with multi-day lows, just above 0.7200 level

  • NZD/USD staged a modest bounce from sub-0.7200 levels, albeit lacked any follow-through.
  • A combination of factors benefitted the USD and capped the attempted intraday recovery.
  • Dovish comments by Fed’s Clarida were offset by surging US bond yields, stronger US CPI.
  • The prevalent risk-off mood exerted some additional pressure on the perceived riskier kiwi.

The NZD/USD pair stalled its early North American session bounce near the 0.7245 region and dropped back closer to daily lows, albeit has still managed to hold above the 0.7200 mark.

The pair witnessed some heavy selling and momentarily slipped below the 0.7200 mark, or four-day lows in reaction to hotter-than-expected US consumer inflation figures. In fact, the headline CPI posted the largest rise since September 2008 and accelerated to 4.2% YoY in April. Apart from this, the core CPI also surpassed expectations and jumped 3.0% YoY from 1.6% recorded in the previous month.

The data added to the market worries that the rapid rise in inflation may be something more than transitory and could push the Fed to tighten its policy earlier than expected. This, in turn, provided a strong lift to the US dollar and exerted some heavy pressure on the NZD/USD pair. The USD, however, lost some traction after Fed Governor Richard Clarida reiterated that inflation above 2% is due to transitory factors and highlighted uncertainty about the near-term labour market outlook.

That said, a sharp spike in the US Treasury bond yields acted as a tailwind for the greenback. This, along with the prevalent risk-off mood, further underpinned the USD's relative safe-haven status. The anti-risk flow was evident from an extended selloff in the global equity markets, which was seen as another factor that weighed on the perceived riskier kiwi. However, the lack of any strong follow-through selling warrants some caution before positioning for any further depreciating move.

Technical levels to watch


Today last price 0.7212
Today Daily Change -0.0060
Today Daily Change % -0.83
Today daily open 0.7272
Daily SMA20 0.7206
Daily SMA50 0.7139
Daily SMA100 0.717
Daily SMA200 0.6962
Previous Daily High 0.729
Previous Daily Low 0.7251
Previous Weekly High 0.7301
Previous Weekly Low 0.7115
Previous Monthly High 0.7287
Previous Monthly Low 0.6945
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7266
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7275
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7252
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7232
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7213
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7291
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.731
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.733



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