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NZD/USD flat-lines below 0.6000, US PMI, Fed’s Powell speech eyed

  • NZD/USD remains flat around 0.5994 ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate decision.
  • New Zealand’s Building Permits for August came in at -6.7% MoM vs. -5.4% prior.
  • The annual Core PCE Price Index grew 3.9% from 4.3% in July, in line with expectations.
  • Market players await the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, RBNZ monetary policy meeting.

The NZD/USD pair consolidates below the 0.6000 mark after retracing from the seven-week highs of 0.6048 during the early Asian session on Monday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate decision. The pair currently trades near 0.5996, up 0.05% for the day.

The latest data from Statistics New Zealand on Monday revealed that the nation’s Building Permits for August came in at -6.7% MoM from the previous reading of -5.4%. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, and the Official Cash Rate (OCR) is expected to remain steady at 5.5%. 

Apart from this, economic data released on Saturday showed that the Chinese Caixin/S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dropped to 50.6 in September from the previous reading of 51.0, below the market consensus of 51.2. The Service PMI came in at 50.2 from 51.8 in the previous month. These figures indicated a sign of stabilization in the world's second-largest economy. However, the future is clouded by a housing downturn and plummeting exports, which could weigh on the China-proxy New Zealand Dollar (NZD).

On the US dollar front, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed on Friday that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose by 3.5% YoY in August from 3.4% in July, meeting market estimation. The annual Core PCE Price Index grew 3.9% from 4.3% in July, in line with expectations. On a monthly basis, the PCE Price Index and the Core PCE Price Index rose 0.4% and 0.1% MoM, respectively. Both of these figures came in below the market consensus.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York President John Williams said on Friday that the central bank is at or near peak for the federal funds rate while mentioning that the Fed will need a restrictive policy stance for some time to achieve goals. Traders will take cues from the Fed’s Chair Jerome Powell's speech later in the American session on Monday.

On Saturday, the US Congress passed a bill to prevent a government shutdown and keep the government running for 45 days. The vote extends government funding through November 17.

Market participants will focus on the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for September ahead of the Fed Chair Powell’s speech on Monday. The key event will be the RBNZ Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday. Traders will take cues from these events and find trading opportunities around the NZD/USD pair.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5996
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open0.5993
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5923
Daily SMA500.5988
Daily SMA1000.6079
Daily SMA2000.6179
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.605
Previous Daily Low0.5932
Previous Weekly High0.605
Previous Weekly Low0.5899
Previous Monthly High0.605
Previous Monthly Low0.5847
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6005
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5977
Daily Pivot Point S10.5933
Daily Pivot Point S20.5873
Daily Pivot Point S30.5815
Daily Pivot Point R10.6051
Daily Pivot Point R20.611
Daily Pivot Point R30.617

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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