NZD/USD faces extra range bound near term – UOB

In the opinion of UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Market Strategist Quek Ser Leang, NZD/USD is still seen navigating within the 0.6160-0.6280 range in the near term.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Yesterday, we held the view that NZD ‘could break above 0.6280 but it is unlikely to maintain a foothold above this level’. However, NZD did not break 0.6280 as it dropped from 0.6271 to a low of 0.6215. Downward momentum has improved a tad and today, NZD is likely to edge lower but a break of 0.6190 is unlikely. On the upside, a breach of 0.6250 (minor resistance is at 0.6235) would indicate that the current mild downward pressure has eased.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We highlighted yesterday (29 Mar, spot at 0.6250) that ‘if NZD breaks and stays above 0.6280, it would increase the risk of a break of 0.6310’. NZD rose to 0.6271 before dropping quickly from the high. The build-up of momentum fizzled out quickly. In other words, instead of breaking upwards, NZD is more likely to trade in a range for the time being, expected to be between 0.6160 and 0.6280.”