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NZD/USD bounces back post RBNZ decision, kiwi finds respite on soft USD

  • NZD/USD rebounds to 0.5922 after initially dipping to a weekly low of 0.5870, following the RBNZ’s decision to keep rates steady at 5.50%.
  • Despite the RBNZ maintaining a neutral stance and commitment to curbing inflation, the Kiwi rallied on US Dollar weakness.
  • Mixed US economic data, including a slowdown in private hiring and service sector activity, dampens demand for the Greenback, aiding the NZD/USD recovery.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) stages a comeback versus the US Dollar (USD) after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) decided to hold rates unchanged, while mixed US economic data dented demand for the safe-haven status of the Greenback (USD). At the time of writing, the NZD/USD is exchanging hands at 0.5922 after hitting a weekly low of 0.5870.

New Zealand Dollar recovers against the US Dollar following the RBNZ's decision to hold rates and mixed US economic data

During the Asian session, the RBNZ decided to keep rates unchanged at 5.50%, as expected, though it struck a neutral stance. RBNZ’s officials reiterated its determination to curb inflation to its target, agreeing to keep rates high “for a sustained period of time.” The NZD/USD did not advance on the RBNZ’s decision; instead fell to a daily low of 0.5870, but overall, US Dollar weakness lent a lifeline to the Kiwi as the North American session kicked in.

On the US side, private hiring slowed, as shown by the Employment Change report of ADP, with September hiring sliding to 89K, below estimates of 153K, and trailing August’s 177K. Recently, business activity in the services sector hit 53.6, as reported by the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, as foreseen, but slowed compared to last month’s 54.5.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The daily chart portrays the Kiwi remains downward pressured despite the ongoing recovery, which would need to witness the pair breaking resistance at the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 0.5970 to challenge the 0.6000 figure. To shift the NZD/USD’s bias to neutral, buyers must lift the pair to a new cycle high above 0.6048. Conversely, the downtrend could resume if bears stepped in and pushed prices below 0.5900.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5917
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open0.5909
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5925
Daily SMA500.5977
Daily SMA1000.6073
Daily SMA2000.6175
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5975
Previous Daily Low0.5887
Previous Weekly High0.605
Previous Weekly Low0.5899
Previous Monthly High0.605
Previous Monthly Low0.5847
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.592
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5941
Daily Pivot Point S10.5872
Daily Pivot Point S20.5836
Daily Pivot Point S30.5785
Daily Pivot Point R10.596
Daily Pivot Point R20.6011
Daily Pivot Point R30.6048

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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