NZD/USD: Bears to test 0.5975 before stabilisation is likely – UOB Group

Room for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to decline to 0.5975 before stabilisation is likely. And, overall, it is likely to trade between 0.5935 and 0.6080 for the time being, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

NZD may fall towards 0.5975

24-HOUR VIEW: “Our view for NZD to strengthen further yesterday was incorrect, as it plunged to a low of 0.5995, closing sharply lower by 1.33% (0.5996). While oversold, there is room for NZD to decline to 0.5975 before stabilisation is likely. The next support at 0.5935 is not expected to come into view. On the upside, any recovery is likely to remain below 0.6040, with minor resistance at 0.6020.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We turned positive in NZD early this month (as annotated in the chart below). As we tracked the advance, in our update yesterday (14 Aug, spot at 0.6070), we expected further NZD strength, but we pointed out that there is a significant resistance level at 0.6120. NZD subsequently rose to 0.6084 and then sold off sharply to break below our ‘strong support’ level at 0.6005. The price action indicates that the NZD strength has come to an end. For the time being, NZD is likely to trade in a range, probably between 0.5935 and 0.6080.”