|

NZD/USD bears on top into the NFP showdown

  • The markets are now in wait and see mode for the NFP.
  • NZD/USD sits near the lows as it consolidated another bid in the greenback.

NZD/USD is down some 0.2% in the early stages of Friday in Asia as traders walk in with US Nonfarm Payrolls slated for the US session.

At the time of writing, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6966 towards the lows of the day, 0.6961, following a drop from the 0.7010 highs fuelled by the strength in the US dollar.

The prior day's stronger than expected ADP employment print has been received as is a positive prelude for Friday's US payroll data, boosting the greenback to fresh cycle highs. 

The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major counterparts, rose to 92.6021, the highest since early April. It last traded up 0.2% at 92.542.

The index in June posted its best monthly performance since November 2016, driven in part by the Federal Open Market Committee's unexpected hawkish shift at a meeting during the month.

The member's forecasts released after the June FOMC meeting pencilled in two interest rate hikes by the end of 2023.

Month and quarter-end rebalancing has also provided some long-awaited volatility in forex, but NZD and AUD were more stable than the majors.

''Price action remains unusual (at least in our view), with the NZD unable to capitalise on falling US bond yields, continually lifting expectations for earlier OCR hikes here, and the ongoing rally in commodity prices,'' analysts at ANZ Bank said.

''We think that’s a favourable backdrop, biasing the NZD higher, but it has been an odd sort of a week and patience may be required.''

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6969
Today Daily Change-0.0011
Today Daily Change %-0.16
Today daily open0.698
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7088
Daily SMA500.717
Daily SMA1000.7162
Daily SMA2000.7053
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7008
Previous Daily Low0.6965
Previous Weekly High0.7096
Previous Weekly Low0.6935
Previous Monthly High0.7289
Previous Monthly Low0.6923
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6981
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6992
Daily Pivot Point S10.696
Daily Pivot Point S20.6941
Daily Pivot Point S30.6917
Daily Pivot Point R10.7003
Daily Pivot Point R20.7027
Daily Pivot Point R30.7046

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).