|

NZD/JPY Price Forecast: Climbs on eased US-China tensions

  • NZD/JPY holds neutral-to-bullish structure, eyeing 87.01 and May 13 high at 87.73.
  • Broader risk sentiment shrugs off Tesla’s 14% plunge as high-beta FX outperforms.
  • Drop below 86.17 Kijun-sen could expose Kiwi to downside toward 85.00 and 84.30 support zone.

NZD/JPY climbed over 0.75% on Thursday amid a session that witnessed an escalation of the Trump-Musk fight on social media, which ultimately sent Testla (TSLA) stocks plunging over 14% during the day. Despite this, high-beta currencies in the FX space, like the Kiwi and the Aussie Dollar, advanced as tensions between Washington and Beijing eased. The pair trades at 86.55 at the time of writing.

NZD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The NZD/JPY is neutral-biased, though it could shift slightly upwards if traders push prices above the May 29 high of 87.01, paving the path to challenge the May 13 high at 87.73. If cleared, the next stop would be the year-to-date (YTD) high of 89.70, ahead of the 90.00 figure.

Conversely, If NZD/JPY falls below the Kijun-sen at 86.17, it opens the door to fall toward the Tenkan-sen at 86.10. In the event of further weakness, the following support levels are 86.00, the 85.00 mark, and the top of the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo), which is around the 84.30/50 range.

NZD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

New Zealand Dollar PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies this week. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.88%-0.81%-0.24%-0.49%-1.08%-1.21%-0.48%
EUR0.88%0.04%0.62%0.37%-0.19%-0.37%0.39%
GBP0.81%-0.04%0.62%0.32%-0.25%-0.42%0.35%
JPY0.24%-0.62%-0.62%-0.24%-0.83%-0.99%-0.31%
CAD0.49%-0.37%-0.32%0.24%-0.59%-0.75%0.02%
AUD1.08%0.19%0.25%0.83%0.59%-0.10%0.69%
NZD1.21%0.37%0.42%0.99%0.75%0.10%0.77%
CHF0.48%-0.39%-0.35%0.31%-0.02%-0.69%-0.77%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).