Analysts at Westpac noted NZ's quarterly change of 0.8% (last: 0.6%, Westpac f/c: 0.8%, mkt f/c: 0.8%).
Key Quotes:
- Annual change: 2.5% (last: 2.5%)
- Annual average change: 2.7% (last: 2.9%)
"New Zealand’s GDP increased by 0.8% in the June quarter, in line with the median market forecast. That marked a modest acceleration from the 0.6% growth in the March quarter (revised up from 0.5%).
The June quarter figures saw the expected big boost from tourist spending, with two major sporting events during the quarter – the World Masters Games and the Lions rugby tour. Retail spending was up 1.7%, and accommodation rose by 5.4%.
There was also an expected rebound in transport activity, up 3.5% in June after a 1.6% fall in March. The wildfires around Christchurch in February had disrupted rail activity in particular, but this effect has now unwound.
Manufacturing activity rose by 1.8%, largely driven by a 5.7% jump in food manufacturing. There was also a 4.1% rise in petroleum and chemical manufacturing, in contrast to our expectation of a fall.
Construction activity fell by 1.1%, on top of a 2.1% fall last quarter. Residential, non-residential and infrastructure work were all lower for the quarter.
The slowing housing market is having a direct impact on the GDP figures. Financial services fell 0.2% as lending growth slowed, and rental and real estate services rose by 0.8% - not seasonally adjusted, but this is relatively soft for a June quarter.
We expected the June quarter to mark the high point for growth this year, given the one-off boost from tourism and a rebound in agriculture and transport from previous weak quarters. In that light, a 0.8% quarterly rise is not that impressive (and even less so in per capita terms: a 0.3% rise, following a flat outturn in the March quarter). We recently revised our September quarter growth forecast down to 0.7%, and over the next year as a whole we expect GDP growth to fall significantly short of Treasury and RBNZ forecasts.
There was no financial markets reaction to the data."
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD steady below 1.0800 after US PCE meets expectations
EUR/USD remains depressed below 1.0800 after soft French inflation data, amid minimal volatility and thin liquidity on Good Friday. The pair barely reacted to US PCE inflation data, with the Greenback shedding some pips. Fed Chair Jerome Powell set to speak ahead of the weekly close.
GBP/USD hovers around 1.2620 in dull trading
GBP/USD trades sideways above 1.2600 amid a widespread holiday restraining action across financial markets. Investors took a long weekend ahead of critical United States employment data next week. Fed Chair Powell coming up next.
Gold price sits at all-time highs above $2,230
Gold price holds near a fresh all-time high at $2,236 in thinned trading amid the Easter Holiday. Most major world markets remain closed, although the United States published core PCE inflation, the Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation gauge.
Jito price could hit $6 as JTO coils up inside this bullish pattern
Jito (JTO) price has been on an uptrend since forming a local bottom in early January. Since then, JTO has revisited the key swing point formed in early December, suggesting the bulls’ intention to move higher.
Key events in developed markets next week
Next week, the main focus will be inflation and the labour market in the Eurozone. We expect services inflation to be impacted by the easter effect, while the unemployment rate to be unchanged.