No policy changes expected at the July FOMC meeting – Goldman Sachs
Economists at Goldman Sachs published a client note, citing their expectations on the FOMC policy decision due on the cards this Wednesday.
Key Quotes:
“We do not expect any policy changes at the July FOMC meeting and expect only limited changes to the post-meeting statement.
The statement is likely to upgrade the description of job growth, but might also recognize that inflation has declined further.
We think the statement is also likely to acknowledge that the balance sheet announcement is now closer at hand.
We continue to expect the FOMC to announce the start of balance sheet normalization in September.
We see a 5% probability that the next rate hike will come in September, a 5% probability that it will come in November, and a 50% probability that it will come in December, for a 60% cumulative probability of at least three hikes this year.”
Author
Dhwani Mehta
FXStreet
Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.
