Natural Gas Price Analysis: XNG/USD retreats towards $2.24 within immediate bearish channel

Natural Gas price fades bounce off the lowest levels since August 2020.
Three-week-old bearish channel, 200-SMA prods XNG/USD’s corrective bounce.
Bullish MACD signals, short-term SMA confluence puts a floor under the Natural Gas price.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

Natural Gas (XNG/USD) price pares intraday gains around $2.33 during early Monday. In doing so, the energy asset eases from an upper line of the three-week-old bearish channel.

However, the bullish MACD signals, as well as a convergence of the 21-SMA and 50-SMA, around $2.24, restrict the immediate downside of the XNG/USD.

In a case where the Natural Gas price drops below $2.24, the stated channel’s support around $2.11, will be crucial to watch as it becomes the fresh low since August 2020 from which the XNG/USD previously bounced.

Should the quote remains bearish past $2.11, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the $2.00 round figure can’t be ruled out. However, the July 2020 high surrounding $1.95 could challenge the Natural Gas bears afterward.

On the flip side, a clear break of the stated channel’s top line, close to $2.35, isn’t an open invitation to the XNG/USD bulls as the 200-SMA hurdle of near $2.44 can act as the final defense of the Natural Gas bears.

Even if the commodity price remains firmer past $2.44, the mid-March swing low around $2.48 and the $2.50 round figure can act as additional upside filters before giving control to the Natural Gas buyers.

Natural Gas Price: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

GBP/USD drops to multi-month troughs near 1.3140

GBP/USD adds to Tuesday’s pullback and recedes to the lowest level since November 2025 near 1.3140. A firmer Greenback and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD bounces off YTD lows around 1.1320

EUR/USD extends its decline on Wednesday, falling to fresh yearly lows near 1.1320. The pair remains on the defensive as the US Dollar continues to draw support from hawkish Fed expectations and uncertainty over the outcome of US-Iran peace negotiations.

Gold trims losses, back above $4,000

Gold retreats further and breaches below the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce for the first time since November 2025 on Wednesday. Higher-for-longer Fed expectations and a broadly firmer US Dollar continue to weigh on the precious metal, while uncertainty surrounding a potential US-Iran peace agreement has done little to revive demand for the safe haven space.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure as September Fed rate-hike odds increase

Bitcoin is trading between $62,000 and $63,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by headwinds stemming from macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally

Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.