|

Natural Gas Price Analysis: XNG/USD bulls approach $2.48 resistance confluence

  • Natural Gas cheers upside break of two-month-old resistance at a fortnight high.
  • Convergence of 50-day EMA, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of March-April downside appears a tough nut to crack for XNG/USD bulls.
  • Ascending support line from May 05 adds to the downside filters for the Natural Gas price.

Natural Gas Price (XNG/USD) remains firmer around $2.42, up for the third consecutive day while flirting with the highest levels in two weeks during early Monday in Europe.

In doing so, the energy instrument cheers the previous day’s sustained break of a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-March, now immediate support near $2.38.

Adding strength to the bullish bias is the RSI (14) line that stays firmer around the 50.00 level, suggesting a continuation of the upward grind.

However, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the XNG/USD’s downside from early March to mid-April, near $2.48 at the latest, could challenge the Natural Gas bulls.

In a case where the commodity price manages to provide a daily close beyond $2.48, the odds of witnessing a run-up beyond the previous monthly high of nearly $2.58 can’t be ruled out.

On the contrary, the resistance-turned-support line from March, near $2.38, restricts the immediate downside of the Natural Gas price.

Following that, an upward-sloping trend line from May 05, close to $2.30 by the press time, appears crucial to watch for the XNG/USD bears to watch as a break of which could give back control to them.

Natural Gas Price: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims losses, approaches 1.3500

GBP/USD adds to the multi-day negative streak, although it has managed to bounce off earlier four-week lows near 1.3470 on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Cable’s deep correction comes despite the tepid performance in the Greenback and the persistent geopolitical concerns.

EUR/USD slips back toward 1.1580 on USD recovery

EUR/USD comes under some pressure and revisits the 1.1580 region as the NA session draws to a close on Wednesday. That said, spot adds to Tuesday’s bearish performance while the Greenback is slowly gathering steam and leaving behind earlier lows.

Gold keeps the recovery in place; focus is back to $4,400

Gold continues to regain ground lost and sets its target on the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s rebound comes amid modest losses in the US Dollar, steady geopolitical uncertainty and mixed US Treasury yields.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC comes under pressure, XAU rebounds amid US-Iran strikes
Bitcoin (BTC) remains neutral-to-bullish, edging lower near $77,000 support on Wednesday. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has been unable to sustain a recovery after being rejected around $81,500 last Friday. Meanwhile, its downside appears broadly protected due to an established moving average cluster.
BoC recap: Risks are shifting as Oil prices and US trade actions complicate outlook
The Bank of Canada (BoC) left its overnight interest rate unchanged at 2.25% on Wednesday, as widely anticipated, but delivered a more cautious message as inflation risks increased and the recovery became harder to assess.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.