|

Natural Gas Price Analysis: XNG/USD bears flex muscles near $2.30

  • Natural Gas price holds lower ground within four-day-old symmetrical triangle.
  • Sustained trading below the key EMAs, downbeat oscillators keep XNG/USD sellers hopeful.
  • Clear break of $2.30 becomes necessary to aim for multi-month low marked in February.
  • Buyers need a successful break of $2.50 to retake control.

Natural Gas (XNG/USD) price remains on the back foot around $2.31 as bears take a breather after a three-week losing streak inside a short-term symmetrical triangle.

Despite the commodity’s latest inaction, the quote’s placement below the key Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and a two-week-old horizontal resistance keep the bears hopeful.

Also favoring the sellers could be the bearish MACD signals and the steady RSI (14) suggesting the continuation of the downturn established in late 2022.

It’s worth noting, however, that the aforementioned triangle’s lower line, around $2.30 by the press time, restricts the immediate downside of the XNG/USD.

Following that, the previous weekly low of around $2.23 may act as an intermediate halt before directing the Natural Gas bears toward the 31-month low marked in February at around $2.13.

On the flip side, the 100-EMA restricts the immediate upside of the XNG/USD near $2.36, a break of which highlights the top line of the four-day-long symmetrical triangle, near $2.40.

Even if the Natural Gas price defies the triangle formation by crossing the $2.40 hurdle, the 200-EMA and a fortnight-old horizontal resistance, respectively near $2.43 and $2.50, could challenge the bulls.

Overall, Natural Gas remains on the bear’s radar even if the immediate triangle restricts the short-term downside of the commodity.

Natural Gas Price: Hourly chart

Trend: Bearish

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.