|

Natural Gas Price Analysis: Falling wedge lures XNG/USD bulls but $2.76 guards immediate recovery

Natural Gas Price picks up bids to extend late Friday’s rebound from two-week low within bullish chart pattern.

Convergence of 50-EMA, falling wedge’s top line challenges XNG/USD buyers.

Sluggish oscillators suggest continuation of upward grind; sellers need validation from 11-week-old support line.

Natural Gas Price (XNG/USD) clings to mild gains around $2.72–73 during early Monday as it stretches the late Friday’s corrective bounce amid a sluggish Asian session. In doing so, the energy instrument also justifies the market’s cautious optimism, as well as a pullback in the US Dollar Index (DXY).

Also read: US Dollar Index: DXY retreats towards 103.00 on Friday’s Doji, Fed remarks at Jackson Hole eyed

It’s worth noting that the recently sluggish MACD signals and the RSI (14) line’s grinding near the 50.0 level suggest the XNG/USD’s further advances.

However, a convergence of the 50-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) joins a top-line of the two-week-old falling wedge bullish chart formation to highlight the $2.76 as a tough nut to crack for Natural Gas buyers.

June’s top and the monthly high, respectively near $2.93 and $3.07, can test the XNG/USD buyers before directing them toward the theoretical target of around $3.11.

On the contrary, the stated wedge’s bottom line, close to $2.63 by the press time, restricts the immediate downside of the Natural Gas Price.

Following that, an ascending support line from early June, around $2.59 as we write, will act as the last defense of the XNG/USD bulls.

Overall, the Natural Gas Price is expected to improve but the upside appears limited.

Natural Gas Price: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD keeps the bid bias near 1.3550

GBP/USD leaves behind part of the recent three-day retracement and hovers around the 1.3550 region on Monday. The Greenback’s fresh downward trend helps Cable and the rest of the risk complex recoup part of the recent ground lost while attention remains on the potential Fed rate path.

EUR/USD retakes 1.1600; looks at the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD manages to gather fresh steam and advances past the 1.1600 hurdle as Monday’s NA session draws to a close. Indeed, the pair patially reverses Friday’s sharp retracement amid the renewed downside momentum in the US Dollar. Moving forward, the flash Inflation Rate in the euro zone and US JOLTs and the ISM Manufacturing should keep investors entertained on turnaround Tuesday.

Gold bulls seem hesitant above $4,450 as Fed hike bets and Iran tensions support USD

Gold is looking to build on the overnight bounce from sub-$4,400 levels amid a softer US Dollar, though the upside seems limited. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish message, along with inflation risks stemming from higher oil prices, lift September rate-hike bets. Adding to this, escalating US-Iran tensions could support the safe-haven USD, warranting caution for XAU/USD bulls.

Ethereum: BitMine scoops 53K ETH as Lee predicts increased institutional accumulation​

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies extended its ETH buying run following another round of weekly acquisitions. The firm purchased 53,501 ETH last week, its largest weekly purchase since June and marking 65 consecutive weeks of ETH acquisitions. The move has lifted BitMine's stack to 5.901 million ETH worth $14.63 billion at the time of writing.

Oil rallies on fresh persian gulf strikes
Energy prices are trading firmer this morning after the US carried out targeted strikes against Iran, drawing retaliatory strikes and reinforcing concerns about a prolonged stalemate in the Persian Gulf. Oil prices started the week stronger following the first military strikes between the US and Iran in a month. ICE Brent briefly moved back above US$90/bbl in early morning Asia trading.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.