|

Nasdaq September futures: 24,052 still the gate to the next leg up

Range defined by Micro-5 24,015 and Micro-4 23,888. Mini-micro 23,872 is today's floor—acceptance above 24,052 targets 24,068 → 24,131; a failure below 23,872 risks 23,799 → 23,680 → 23,594.

Overview (August 14, NY close-in view)

We're finishing Thursday with price rotating inside a tight band framed by the MacroStructure pivots. Wednesday's breakout through Micro-5 (24,015) stalled at the daily critical pivot 24,052, keeping the larger trend on pause. Through Asia/London and most of NY, price repeatedly tested Micro-4 (23,888) and Mini-micro-4 (23,958) while volume concentrated around VAH.

Nasdaq September Futures August 13 chart analysis

Intraday read and opportunities

  • NY open: A rejection from 23,958 (Mini-micro-4) + VAH sent price down to Pivot 23,819 and Micro-3 23,799. Momentum flipped red/sub-zero—short per playbook (sell into Micro-5/4 failures).
  • Rebound: Buyers stepped in at the VWAP lower band, turning momentum blue/green and driving a two-hour squeeze from Mini-micro-1 23,872 → Mini-micro-5 23,996—a textbook long from Micro-1/2.
  • Ceiling confirmed: Another failure at 23,996/24,015 (confluent with Wednesday's cap) set a sequence of lower highs, pulling price back to 23,872. This level now anchors the session.

Nasdaq September Futures August 14 chart analysis

What matters next (sessions ahead)

  • Bullish pathway:
    • Reclaim 24,015 and accept above 24,052 (15-min closes + hold).
    • Targets: 24,068 first reference, then 24,131 (recent swing print).
  • Bearish pathway:
    • Lose 23,872 (and VWAP lower band) → test 23,819 and Micro-3 23,799.
    • A break there opens 23,680, then 23,594 as deeper profile magnets.
  • Likely Asian/London range: 23,888 – 24,015, unless/until 24,052 is accepted.

Why the micro and mini-micro lens helps

Drilling from the daily pivot (24,052) down to Micro and Mini-micro layers exposes where participation truly shifts—VAH/VWAP interactions, failure/reclaim signals, and momentum flips. That precision turns the MacroStructure playbook into a step-by-step map: buy Micro-1/2 pullbacks with confirmation; fade Micro-5/4 failures; don't chase.

Key levels (cheat sheet)

  • Breakout/validation: 24,052 (daily pivot)
  • Ceiling zone: 23,996 – 24,015 (Mini-micro-5 / Micro-5)
  • Range pivot: 23,888 (Micro-4)
  • Session floor: 23,872 (Mini-micro-1)
  • Supports below: 23,819 (Pivot)23,799 (Micro-3)23,68023,594
  • Upside references: 24,06824,131

Bottom line

Until 24,052 is accepted, expect range trading between 24,015 and 23,888, with 23,872 the intraday decision point. Acceptance above 24,052 signals the next leg up; a failure below 23,872 puts 23,799/23,680 back in play.

The views expressed are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any instrument. Trading futures, options, FX, and crypto is highly speculative and involves significant risk of loss. You are solely responsible for your decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Author

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Independent Analyst

Denis Joeli Fatiaki possesses over a decade of extensive experience as a multi-asset trader and Market Strategist.

More from Denis Joeli Fatiaki
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).