Mexican Peso to hold gains despite start of Banxico easing – ING

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Mexican Peso (MXN) continues to perform well and ride out Trump's fears. Economists at ING analyze MXN outlook.

Investors will favour the Mexican Peso

A 25 bps rate cut in March now looks likely. However, Banxico has said it will be very cautious in its rate cutting cycle and the starting point for real rates in the 6%+ area suggests the Peso does not have to sell off as easing starts.

Fourth quarter growth slightly disappointed last year, but consensus 2024 GDP growth is still 2.2% – which should be supported by loose fiscal policy this year. Elections in Mexico are held in June.

Factoring US elections is a tough call into the Peso, but a variety of positive factors suggests MXN outperforms its forward curve.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD sticks to positive bias above 1.1800 as trade jitters undermine USD

The EUR/USD pair builds on the previous day's modest gains and attracts some buyers for the second straight day on Thursday amid a softer US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack bullish conviction and trade around the 1.1815-1.1820 area during the Asian session, up 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD bounces as soft CPI boosts BoE cut bets

GBP/USD rose 0.42% on Wednesday, recovering toward 1.3600 in a session shaped by softer-than-expected UK inflation data and broad US Dollar weakness. The pair had been consolidating in a tight range between about 1.3450 and 1.3520 for the past few days following the sharp pullback from the late-January high near 1.3870, and Wednesday's move pushed price action back onto the high side of key moving averages.

Gold retakes $5,200 amid sustained haven demand, softer USD

Gold attracts some buyers for the second straight day as trade jitters and geopolitical tensions persist ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks, which underpin demand for safe-haven assets. Additionally, a softer US Dollar further supports the bullion, though the underlying bullish sentiment could cap gains. Bulls might also opt to wait for acceptance above the $5,200 mark before positioning for any meaningful appreciating move.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.