Malaysia: Exports outlook remains bumpy – UOB

Julia Goh, Senior Economist at UOB Group, and Economist Loke Siew Ting assessed the latest export data in Malaysia.

Key Quotes

“Gross exports unexpectedly reversed course and declined by 2.9% y/y in Aug (Jul: +3.1% y/y), bringing year-to-date export contraction to 5.8% in the first eight months of 2020 (Jan-Aug 2019: +0.8%). Aug’s export reading was much worse than our estimate (+4.0%) and Bloomberg consensus (+4.9%). Gross imports continued to drop for the sixth month by -6.5% y/y (Jul: -8.7% y/y). With these, trade surplus narrowed to MYR13.2bn from a record high of MYR25.3bn in Jul.”

“The unexpected decline in exports last month was across the board. Both overseas shipments of manufactured and agriculture goods took a backseat after steep falls in manufactures of metal, chemicals & chemical products, machinery, equipment & parts, sawn timber & moulding, and natural rubber. Exports of mining goods still saw a sharp decline for 14 months, largely due to the persistent weakness in exports of liquefied natural gas.”

The surprise setback in Aug exports amid year-ago low base comparison reaffirms our view of a bumpy ride for Malaysia’s export outlook. A return to softer manufacturing Purchasing Manager Indices (PMIs) in most countries including Malaysia and resurgence of COVID-19 infections may further undermine the pace of recovery. We maintain our export projection of -3.5% for this year before rebounding to +4.0% growth in 2021.”

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.18 amid mixed US data, slim stimulus hopes

EUR/USD is trading above 1.30 after US Durable Goods Orders beat expectations but Consumer Confidence missed estimates. Hopes for a US stimulus deal are slim with a week left until the elections.


GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.30 amid Brexit and covid uncertainty

GBP/USD is hovering above the round 1.30 levels as rising UK COVID-19 cases, uncertainty about Brexit, and PM Johnson's political problems weigh on sterling. US data has been mixed.


XAU/USD pares early gains, turns flat near $1,900

For the third straight trading day on Tuesday, the XAU/USD pair is moving sideways above $1,900 as participants wait for the next significant catalyst. After climbing to a daily high of $1,910 earlier in the day, the pair lost its traction and was last seen trading virtually unchanged on the day at $1,902.

Gold News

Bitcoin breaks new yearly highs; the road to $15,000 is clear

Bitcoin breaks new yearly highs and hits $13,464. The road to $15,000 is clear as there are no major resistance levels above the current price.

Read more

WTI trims losses and moves near $39.00/bbl ahead of API

Following two consecutive daily pullbacks, prices of the West Texas Intermediate regain some buying interest and reach the $39.00 mark per barrel on turnaround Tuesday.

Oil News