Analysts at TD Securities noted that the US manufacturing sector momentum should leak lower for the second consecutive month.
Key Quotes:
"With the headline ISM manufacturing index falling to 50.2 in May from 50.8. The decline in the index is expected to be driven by weaker new orders activity (which should fall back to 52.4), while the production sub-index should also decline. The softening in manufacturing activity has been reflected in the regional Fed PMIs, with the Empire, Philly, and Richmond Fed indicators all falling sharply.
A weak ISM manufacturing performance would also be consistent with the observed declines in the Chicago and Markit manufacturing indicators, both of which have generally been good predictors of the direction for the ISM.
Risks to the forecast
The risks to this forecast are tilted to the downside, with the performance of new orders standing out as the key wildcard. For some context, the new orders, unfilled orders and orders backlog sub-indices in the Philly, Empire and Richmond Fed reports all fell sharply. A similar performance in the ISM manufacturing could push the headline index back into contractionary territory."
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD gains momentum above 0.6500 ahead of Australian Retail Sales data
AUD/USD trades in positive territory for six consecutive days around 0.6535 during the early Asian session on Monday. The upward momentum of the pair is bolstered by the hawkish stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia after the recent release of Consumer Price Index inflation data last week.
EUR/USD: Federal Reserve and Nonfarm Payrolls spell action this week
The EUR/USD pair temporarily reconquered the 1.0700 threshold last week, settling at around that round level. The US Dollar lost its appeal following discouraging United States macroeconomic data indicating tepid growth and persistent inflationary pressures.
Gold trades on a softer note below $2,350 on hotter-than-expected US inflation data
Gold price trades on a softer note near $2,335 on Monday during the early Asian session. The recent US economic data showed that US inflationary pressures staying firm, which has added further to market doubts about near-term US Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Ethereum fees drops to lowest level since October, ETH sustains above $3,200
Ethereum’s high transaction fees has been a sticky issue for the blockchain in the past. This led to Layer 2 chains and scaling solutions developing alternatives for users looking to transact at a lower cost.
Week ahead: Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.