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Japan’s Ishiba agrees with US on tariffs

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said on Wednesday that Japan has agreed to a trade deal with the United States, one of the country's largest trading partners. The plan would result in Japan investing $550bn into the US and paying a 15% reciprocal tariff. 

Key quotes

Agreed with the U.S. on tariffs.
Agreed to lower auto tariffs by 15%.
Agreed to continue working closely with the U.S.
Agreed to build a resilient supply chain focused on economic security.
Said the $550 billion U.S. investment “includes loans and investments.”
The U.S. deal does not include lowering tariffs on Japan's agricultural products.
Japan will raise the portion of rice imports from the U.S. within the minimum access framework. 

Market reaction  

At the press time, the USD/JPY pair is down 0.02% on the day to trade at 146.58.

Japanese Yen FAQs

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.

One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.

Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.

The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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