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Is AUD/JPY signalling risk-off ahead?

AUD/JPY, which is widely considered as a risk barometer, fell to 82.23 in Asia; the lowest level since May 18.

A better-than-expected Australia building consent data failed to lift the pair.

Broad based Yen strength

The Japanese Yen is ruling the roost this Tuesday morning after Greece hinted at a default and Japan’s Yamaguchi squashed hopes of a major change in the BOJ monetary policy.

The major portion of the losses in the AUD/JPY was triggered by Yamaguchi’s comments. Consequently, the drop in the cross does not necessarily signal risk-off.

Nevertheless, caution is advised as the haven demand for the Yen may strengthen in Europe if the Greek bond yields spike. 

AUD/JPY Technical Levels

The cross was last seen trading around 82.35 levels. A break below 81.82 (Apr 12 low) would expose support at 81.49 (Apr 19 low) and 81.00 (zero levels). On the other hand, resistance is seen at 82.84 (200-DMA), which, if breached, could yield a re-test of 83.48 (50-DMA) and 83.88 (May 25 high).

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBearishNeutral Low
1HStrongly BearishOversold High
4HBearishNeutral Low
1DBearishNeutral Expanding
1WBearishNeutral High

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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