|

Gold turns positive above $1300 despite improved risk sentiment

  • Weak data from the US keep the buck under pressure.
  • Wall Street starts the day on a positive note.
  • Gold struggles to determine a short-term direction and stays in its weekly range.

For the third straight day, the troy ounce of gold is having a difficult time moving away from the $1300 handle despite the sharp shifts in the market sentiment. After slumping down to $1296, the XAU/USD pair recovered its daily losses and was last seen trading at $1301.50, where it was up $2.5, or 0.2% on the day.

Although some positive political developments from Italy helped the risk appetite come back to the markets, the heavy selling pressure witnessed on the greenback limited the pair's losses. With European currencies finding an opportunity to erase a big portion of their losses against the USD, the US Dollar Index fell to 94.20 during the European session. In the second half of the day, the disappointing macroeconomic data releases from the United States didn't allow the greenback to gain traction.

The private sector employment change published by the ADP showed a 178K increase in May, which failed to meet the experts' estimate of 190K. Furthermore, the Q1 GDP growth expectation was reduced to 2.2% in the second estimate from 2.3%. Later in the session, the Fed is going to publish its Beige Book, which consists of survey data gathered from the 12 Federal Reserve districts. As of writing, the SXY was down 0.45% near 94.40.

Technical outlook

Since the beginning of the week, the XAU/USD pair is fluctuating in a relatively narrow $12 range. $1307 (200-DMA) remains as the first critical resistance ahead of $1319 (50-DMA) and $1332 (Apr. 24 high). On the flip side, supports could be seen at $1300 (psychological level), $1292 (May 24 low) and $1282 (May 21 low).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).