|

Gold technical analysis: Set-up remains in favour of bullish traders, dip-buying to help the downside

  • Gold failed to capitalize on the early uptick to weekly tops and dropped to fresh session tops in reaction to hotter-than-expected US core CPI print.
  • Weakness below 23.6% Fibo. level of this week's up-move from the $1385 region to $1419 area was seen as a key trigger for intraday bearish traders. 

However, the intraday downtick managed to find some support near 38.2% Fibo., which should now act as a key pivotal point for the precious metal's next leg of any meaningful intraday momentum.

Meanwhile, the occurrence of a Golden Cross on the 1-hourly chart - 50-hour SMA crossing above 200-hour SMA, remains tilted in favour of bullish traders and support prospects for a further appreciating move. 

Moreover, technical indicators on hourly/daily charts have managed to hold in the positive territory, further reinforcing the constructive outlook and suggesting some dip-buying interest at lower levels.

Hence, any subsequent slide below daily lows is more likely to remain limited and attract some fresh buying near the $1407 confluence region - comprising of 50-hour SMA and 50% Fibo. level.

Gold 1-hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1415.68
Today Daily Change-3.28
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open1418.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA201356.57
Daily SMA501311.69
Daily SMA1001308.19
Daily SMA2001277.51
Levels
Previous Daily High1419
Previous Daily Low1390.08
Previous Weekly High1436.2
Previous Weekly Low1382.02
Previous Monthly High1438.66
Previous Monthly Low1306.18
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1407.95
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1401.12
Daily Pivot Point S11399.69
Daily Pivot Point S21380.42
Daily Pivot Point S31370.76
Daily Pivot Point R11428.62
Daily Pivot Point R21438.27
Daily Pivot Point R31457.54

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flatlines near 0.6965 as less hawkish RBA counters USD weakness

AUD/USD holds steady above a two-week low, trading near 0.6965 in the Asian session on Wednesday as early midterm election results heighten political uncertainty and weigh heavily on the US Dollar. Moreover, reviving safe-haven demand triggers a fresh leg down in US bond yields, offsetting Fed hike bets and exerting additional pressure on the buck. However, a less hawkish RBA caps the Aussie.

USD/JPY declines below 158.00 as USD weakens on midterm election results

USD/JPY comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, dropping below 158.00 during the Asian session as the US Dollar slumps to a one-month low amid heightened political uncertainty after early US midterm vote counts. Moreover, the prospect of gridlock in Washington drives safe-haven flows, triggering a fresh leg down in US bond yields and further weighing on the buck.

Gold clings to gains near weekly top, comfortably above $4,000 as US elections hit USD

Gold clings to strong intraday gains near the weekly high, trading comfortably above the $4,000 psychological mark during early European session amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Democrats’ wins in the House and Senate raise the prospect of gridlock in Washington. Moreover, heightened political uncertainty drove investors to safe-haven assets, exerting downward pressure on US bond yields. This is seen weighing on the Greenback and supporting the precious metal.

Bitcoin tests critical support, Ethereum struggles below resistance, XRP extends losses
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) remain under pressure on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to weigh on prices. BTC approaches key support around $76,466, and a decisive close below could open the door to deeper losses. Meanwhile, ETH struggles below key resistance while XRP faces rejection at the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, all hinting at deeper losses.
ADP Employment Report expected to show slower job growth in October

The Automatic Data Processing Research Institute is due to release October’s private-sector employment report on Wednesday. The market consensus anticipates a moderate slowdown in job creation, with the ADP Employment Change expected to show 69K new private jobs in October, down from 90K in September.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.