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Gold technical analysis: Risks skewed to the downside after failed breakout

  • Gold's daily chart shows a failed falling channel breakout. 
  • Monday's drop confirmed a bearish candlestick reversal pattern. 
  • The yellow metal could drop to support at $1,481. 

Gold is looking south, having witnessed a failed breakout in the previous two trading days.

The yellow metal closed at $1,504 on Friday, confirming an upside break of a falling channel, represented by Sept. 4 and Sept. 24 highs and Sept. 10 and Oct. 1 lows. 

The breakout was confirmed with a Gravestone Doji and looked weak and was short-lived, as prices fell 0.80% on Monday. 

Put simply, Monday's close at $1,490 activated twin bearish cues: a failed breakout and a Gravestone Doji reversal. 

Gold, therefore, is likely to face selling pressure on Tuesday. The yellow metal is currently trading at $1,491 per Oz and could drop to support at $1,481 (Oct. 22 low). 

The bearish case would be invalidated if prices rise above Monday's high of $1,508.

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1491.71
Today Daily Change-0.79
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1492.5
 
Trends
Daily SMA201494.39
Daily SMA501504.94
Daily SMA1001464.43
Daily SMA2001381.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1508.23
Previous Daily Low1490.1
Previous Weekly High1517.92
Previous Weekly Low1481.05
Previous Monthly High1557.03
Previous Monthly Low1464.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1497.03
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1501.3
Daily Pivot Point S11485.66
Daily Pivot Point S21478.81
Daily Pivot Point S31467.53
Daily Pivot Point R11503.79
Daily Pivot Point R21515.07
Daily Pivot Point R31521.92

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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