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Gold stays flat below $1280, can FOMC's Powell wake up markets?

  • The XAU/USD pair trades in a $5 range on Monday.
  • US Dollar Index stays in tight range below 98.
  • 10-year US T-bond yield stages modest recovery.

The XAU/USD pair pushed lower in the early trading hours of the European session to touch its lowest level in more than two weeks at $1273.75. Although the pair was able to find support there, it has struggled to stage a meaningful recovery and gone into a consolidation phase below $1280. As of writing, the troy ounce of the precious metal was down $0.5 at $1277.35

Amid the fact that there were no fresh developments surrounding the U.S.-China trade conflict, which became the primary driver of the market's risk perception, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield rebounded today to suggest that investors don't feel the need to flee to safer assets to make it difficult for gold to find demand.

Nevertheless, investors don't expect the trade war to be resolved anytime soon and we could continue to see shifts in the market sentiment. In a recently published article, Chinese news outlet Global Times reported that China's Foreign Ministry said President Donald Trump's claim that China broke a trade deal was an attempt to muddy the waters and shift blame."It was the US' maximum pressure that led to there being no deal in the latest trade talks," Global Times wrote. 

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index continues to move sideways a little below the 98 handle, not impacting the pair's action today. Later in the session, investors will be paying close attention to FOMC Chairman Powell's speech. Although it's unlikely, any comments on the policy outlook could trigger a sharp market reaction.

Technical levels to watch for

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1277.35
Today Daily Change-0.46
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open1277.81
 
Trends
Daily SMA201282.72
Daily SMA501291.66
Daily SMA1001296.9
Daily SMA2001257.85
Levels
Previous Daily High1288.9
Previous Daily Low1275.09
Previous Weekly High1311.8
Previous Weekly Low1275.09
Previous Monthly High1310.7
Previous Monthly Low1265.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1280.37
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1283.62
Daily Pivot Point S11272.3
Daily Pivot Point S21266.79
Daily Pivot Point S31258.49
Daily Pivot Point R11286.11
Daily Pivot Point R21294.41
Daily Pivot Point R31299.92

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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