|

Gold risk reversals: Bullish bias is strongest since November 2009

Risk reversals on gold, a gauge of calls to puts on the yellow metal, rose to their highest level since November 2009 on Wednesday, indicating investors are adding bets to position for a sustained rally in the zero-yielding metal.

One-month risk reversals (XAU1MRR) are currently trading at 2.375 in favor of call options (bullish bets) - a level last seen in mid-November 2009.

A positive number indicates the implied volatility or demand for call options is higher than that for put options. Put simply, the bullish bias is the strongest in a decade.

Gold is currently trading at $1,344 per Oz, having hit a 13-month high of $1,358 on Friday. More importantly, prices have rallied nearly 6 percent over the last 2.5 weeks.

XAU1MRR

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3300 amid pre-Fed market caution

GBP/USD stays defensive near fresh July lows in the 1.3270 region on Tuesday. The pair struggles as the US Dollar (USD) sits at monthly highs amid market caution ahead of the two-day US Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting, while a sell-off in stocks fuels demand for the safe-haven currency.

EUR/USD hangs close to monthly lows near 1.1350 on USD strength

EUR/USD is consolidating near the monthly trough, trading near mid-1.1300s in the European morning on Tuesday, undermined by persistent US Dollar demand. Traders seem hesitant and await the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting before placing aggressive directional bets.

Gold languishes near $4,000 ahead of FOMC decision

Gold (XAU/USD) maintains its offered tone through thef the European session on Tuesday and currently nears the $4,000 psychological level. This follows the previous day's failure to find acceptance above the $4,100 mark and suggests that the path of least resistance for the bullion remains to the downside amid a bullish US Dollar (USD) undertone.

Bitcoin slips below $64,000 as risk-off sentiment grips markets
Bitcoin (BTC) is extending its correction, trading below $64,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday after losses of over 2.5% the previous day. Institutional demand shows early signs of weakness, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a mild outflow on Monday, marking three consecutive days of withdrawals.
Indian Rupee outlook: Downtrend set to persist – Just at a slower pace
The Indian Rupee just endured its most brutal six-month stretch in years, battered by a perfect storm of global shocks. From United States (US)-India trade uncertainty to surging Oil prices and the significant outflow of Foreign Institutional Investment (FII) from the Indian stock market, every event brought nothing but pain for the Indian currency.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.