|

Gold Review: Drops to fresh session low, now seems vulnerable

   •  Surging US bond yields help ease USD bearish pressure and prompt some fresh selling.
   •  Fading safe-haven demand, amid easing global trade tensions adds to the downward pressure.
   •  Technical studies point to a possible resumption of the well-established bearish trend.

After an initial uptick to $1235 area, gold met with some fresh supply and has now eroded a part of gains recorded in the previous session.

Persistent US Dollar selling pressure, which tends to underpin demand for dollar-denominated commodities contributed to the initial uptick during the Asian session on Thursday. However, a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields helped ease the USD bearish pressure and prompted some fresh selling around the non-yielding yellow metal.

This coupled with easing global trade tensions after the US President Donald Trump and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker agreed to work towards eliminating trade barriers, further weighed on the precious metal's safe-haven appeal and collaborated to the ongoing retracement slide. 

Technical Analysis

The commodity is retreating from weekly tops, set on Monday, which now seems to constitute towards forming a bearish double-top chart pattern on the 1-hourly chart. 

Meanwhile, the latest leg of downfall over the past hour or so could also be attributed to some technical selling below a short-term ascending trend-line support on the 1-hourly chart. 

Technical indicators have also started losing positive momentum and hence, a follow-through weakness, back closer to $1224 horizontal support, now looks a distinct possibility.

A convincing break below the mentioned support would confirm the bearish formation and pave the way for the resumption of the commodity's prior depreciating move. 

Spot rate: $1228
Daily High: $1235
Trend: Turning bearish again

Resistance
R1: $1235 (weekly tops)
R2: $1241 (horizontal zone)
R3: $1249 (July 12 swing high)

Support
S1: $1224 (horizontal zone)
S2: $1218 (weekly low set on Tuesday)
S3: $1212 (YTD swing low touched on July 19)

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.