|

Gold remains in demand as a safe haven – Commerzbank

In response to Israel's attacks on Iran, the price of Gold also jumped, albeit without reaching a new record high, Commerzbank's commodity analysts Barbara Lambrecht and Carsten Fritsch notes.

Gold to trade at $3,400 per troy ounce by the end of this year

"In a report, the ECB emphasised the great importance of central banks for the Gold market. After all, they have accounted for around 20% of global Gold purchases in the last three years. Together with the higher price, this has resulted in Gold reaching a higher share of foreign currency reserves than the euro at the end of 2024, replacing it as the second-largest reserve asset."

"Next Tuesday, the Gold mining association WGC will publish the results of its annual survey of central banks regarding their planned or expected Gold purchases. Last year, a record 80% of the central banks surveyed said that they expected further central bank purchases over the next 12 months."

"We have raised our forecast for the Gold price due to the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of a more pronounced weakness of the US dollar: we now expect a Gold price of $3,400 per troy ounce by the end of this year and $3,600 by the end of next year (previously $3,000 in each case)."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 amid trading lull, awaits Fed Minutes

EUR/USD trades around a flatline below 1.1800 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any trading impetus as the US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Fed's December Meeting Minutes release, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD retakes 1.3500 despite the year-end grind

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and retakes 1.3500 on Tuesday as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Despite the latest uptick, the pair is unlikely to see further progress due to the year-end holiday volumes.

Gold holds the bounce on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold holds the rebound near $4,350 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was Gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).