Gold Price News and Forecast: XAU/USD is testing a key support level as it trades 1.82% lower on Wednesday

FXStreet Team FXStreet

Gold Price Analysis: Elliott Wave downside targets point to the $1767 area

The commodities complex is taking another hit on Wednesday after a tough start to the week. The recent persistent greenback strength has been a thorn in the side of the precious metal since the dollar consolidation began. Now there is a breakout to the upside in the dollar, gold is testing the support area which is the consolidation low.

The first place to start is the retracement from the all-time high. After the pullback the price retraced and the second wave up hit USD 2015.65 per troy ounce. This pullback stopped short of the 76.4% retracement but is still the Elliott Wave 2 starting point.

Gold, dollar and rates: A correlated story

Mining production? No. China’s consumer demand? No. The main drivers of gold prices are, as I’ve repeated many times, the US dollar and real interest rates. You don’t believe it? You don’t have to – just look at the charts below.

The first one displays the greenback and the dollar-denominated price of gold. Because other series start much later, I used here the Trade Weighted U.S. Dollar Index against major currencies that circulate widely outside the country of issuance. Although the correlation is not perfect, the inverse relationship is quite strong and bull and bear markets in gold coincide with the bear and bull trends in the U.S. dollar.

EUR/USD remains heavy near 1.1600 after hot EU inflation data

EUR/USD remains heavily offered near 1.1600, six-week lows, in the European session on Tuesday. The pair fails to find any inspiration from a surprise pick up in Eurozone inflation for February, as the US Dollar continues to attract safe haven flows amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

GBP/USD attacks 1.3300, refreshing three-month lows

GBP/USD is deep in the red near 1.3300, accelerating its downside to renew three-month lows in European trading on Tuesday. The ongoing escalation in the Iran war, combined with rising Oil prices, weighs negatively on the higher-yielding Pound Sterling as the US Dollar capitalizes on increased haven demand.

Gold falls below $5,300 as stronger USD counter Middle East woes

Gold attracts some intraday selling and falls below $5,300 on Tuesday. The US Dollar climbs to a fresh high since January 20 and turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the commodity. However, concerns about a broader regional conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investors' sentiment and underpin demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion.

Stellar risks deeper losses as derivatives metrics turn negative

Stellar is trading red below $0.16 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight recovery the previous day. Weakening derivatives data caps the recovery, while an unfavorable technical outlook projects a deeper correction for the XLM token in the upcoming days.

Middle East conflict ramps up a gear as energy price spike rips through markets

It’s another risk off day as geopolitical headwinds continue to batter financial markets. Although markets calmed during the US session and US stocks managed to post gains on Monday, this has not fed through to the European session, and stocks and bonds are sharply lower for a second day.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE rises on commodities demand amid US-Iran war

Hyperliquid (HYPE) steadies above $33 at press time on Tuesday, marking its fourth consecutive day of recovery in a broadly volatile market due to the ongoing US-Israel strikes on Iran.