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Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD steadily climbs to $1,825 area, fresh daily high ahead of FOMC

  • Gold gained traction on Wednesday and snapped a two-day losing streak to a near one-month low.
  • Retreating US bond yields prompted some USD profit-taking and extended some support to the metal.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations might cap gains for the XAUUSD ahead of the key central bank event risk.

Gold attracted some buying on Wednesday and for now, has snapped a two-day losing streak to a near one-month low, around the $1,805 region touched the previous day. The XAUUSD built on its steady intraday ascent through the first half of the European session and climbed to a fresh daily high, around the $1,826 region in the last hour.

Retreating US Treasury bond yields prompted traders to take some profits off their US dollar bullish bets, especially after the recent strong bullish run to a two-decade high. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor that prompt some short-covering around the dollar-denominated commodity. That said, the attempted recovery move runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly and remains capped amid expectations for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed.

Investors now seem convinced that the US central bank would tighten its monetary policy at a faster pace to combat stubbornly high inflation, which surged to a four-decade high in May. In fact, Fed fund futures indicate rising odds of a 75 bps rate hike at the conclusion of a two-day FOMC meeting on Wednesday and another 75 bps hike in July. This should act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and the USD, which, in turn, might cap gains for the non-yielding gold.

Hence, the focus remains glued to the outcome of a two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting, due later during the US session. A 75 bps Fed rate hike move would be the biggest since 1994 and send shockwaves across asset classes, boosting the USD and lending some support to gold prices. In the meantime, traders might take cues from the US monthly Retail Sales figures, though any immediate market reaction is more likely to be short-lived.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1825.04
Today Daily Change16.62
Today Daily Change %0.92
Today daily open1808.42
 
Trends
Daily SMA201846.82
Daily SMA501879.56
Daily SMA1001889.7
Daily SMA2001842.21
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1831.71
Previous Daily Low1805.11
Previous Weekly High1876.01
Previous Weekly Low1825.1
Previous Monthly High1909.83
Previous Monthly Low1786.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1815.27
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1821.55
Daily Pivot Point S11798.45
Daily Pivot Point S21788.48
Daily Pivot Point S31771.85
Daily Pivot Point R11825.05
Daily Pivot Point R21841.68
Daily Pivot Point R31851.65

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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