|

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD eyes $1,736 and $1,730 as next downside targets – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price is extending its bearish streak at the start of the week.    
  • Hawkish Federal Reserve commentary and China’s covid woes boost the US Dollar.
  • Gold price looks vulnerable following a weekly close below the $1,750 level.

Gold price is testing weekly lows below $1,750, in a negative start to the week. The bright metal is extending its losing streak into a fourth straight trading day this Monday, as the US Dollar continues its recovery momentum, drawing the latest support from broad risk-aversion. Investors remain wary amid China’s covid restrictions and hawkish Fed outlook on the terminal rates. Two covid deaths reported in Beijing combined with a five-day lockdown in Guanzhou has once again spooked markets. Meanwhile, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said on Saturday that he feels the Fed's target policy rate needs to rise no more than another percentage point to tackle inflation. Looking ahead, markets await the Federal Reserve November meeting minutes for fresh hints on the central bank’s policy outlook.

Also read: Gold, Chart of the Week: XAUUSD bears are moving in, focus is on $1,750, then $1,720

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price is flirting with the SMA10 one-day at $1,745 following a weekly close below the $1,750 psychological barrier.

A breach of the pivot point one-day S1 at $1,742 is likely to open floors for a test of the $1,736 demand area. That zone is the convergence of the pivot point one-day S2 and the pivot point one-week S1.

The last line of defense for gold buyers is seen at $1,730, which is the previous month’s high.

On the flip side, the immediate resistance is aligned at the previous day’s low of $1,748, above which the $1,750 level will be retested.

Acceptance above the latter will threaten the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day resistance at $1,753.

Gold bulls need to take out the powerful resistance at around $1,755, which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and SMA50 four-hour.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxspriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends losses toward 1.3200 on broad USD strength

GBP/USD declines toward 1.3200 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Political uncertainty in the United Kingdom weighs on the British Pound, alongside weak business PMI data for June. Meanwhile, the US Dollar capitalizes on the risk-off mood and stronger-than-forecast PMI readings, making it difficult for the pair to find its footing.

EUR/USD falls to fresh 12-month low below 1.1400

EUR/USD comes under renewed selling pressure in the second half of the day on Tuesday and trades at its lowest level since June 2025 below 1.1400. Mixed PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone makes it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while the risk-averse market atmosphere and the upbeat PMI prints support the USD, forcing the pair to stay on the back foot.

Gold drops to nearly two-week low, holds above $4,100

Gold (XAU/USD) turns south following Monday's rebound and trades deep in the red but holds above $4,100 on Tuesday. Despite positive signals from US-Iran peace talks, widespread skepticism remains toward a final deal and weighs on the precious metal. In the meantime, the USD gathers strength on hawkish Fed expectations and upbeat PMI data, dragging XAU/USD lower.

MiCA regulations could be the next bullish catalyst for crypto – Georg Harer, co-CEO at Bybit EU

The cryptocurrency market is losing momentum and liquidity due to the lack of a bullish catalyst. In an exclusive interview with FXStreet, Georg Harer, co-CEO at Bybit EU, says that the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulations could inject liquidity into the crypto market from traditional fund houses.

Will PCE inflation data fuel bets of early Fed rate hike?

Warsh’s hawkish debut sparks sharp repricing in Fed funds futures. Inflation is front and centre as September hike now seen likely. Will PCE report due Thursday, 12:30 GMT, support the hawkish bets?

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.