Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD unable to consolidate above $1680 as yields keep rising


  • Gold looks vulnerable as government bond yields continue to rise.
  • Yellow metal peaked at $1684 and retreated back to the $1670 area.
  • Price continues to move in a wide range, bearish bias.

Gold rose after the beginning of the American session to $1685, hitting a fresh daily high but it failed to hold above $1680 and retreated to $1667. It is hovering around $1670, as it continues to move sideways in a wide range between $1655 and $1685.

Volatility remains elevated but XAUUSD holds within the range. The consolidation takes place within a bearish trend that remains in place. A firm recovery above $1680 could open the doors to a larger bullish correction. On the flip side, the loss of $1650 could trigger an acceleration targeting initially $1640.

Following the 75 bps rate hike from the Federal Reserve, US yields continue to rise on Thursday. The US 10-year yield is at 3.70%, the highest level since February 2011 while the 2-year reached 4.15%, the highest since 2007. Higher yields are usually not good news for gold bulls. In the current context, bad news could be positive for gold. 

Earlier on Thursday, the Japanese government's intervention in the currency market weakened the dollar and favoured the rebound in XAU/USD. However, the recovery was short-lived.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1672.11
Today Daily Change -1.83
Today Daily Change % -0.11
Today daily open 1673.94
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1705.74
Daily SMA50 1733.64
Daily SMA100 1779.52
Daily SMA200 1829.69
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1688.11
Previous Daily Low 1653.97
Previous Weekly High 1735.17
Previous Weekly Low 1654.17
Previous Monthly High 1807.93
Previous Monthly Low 1709.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1675.07
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1667.01
Daily Pivot Point S1 1655.9
Daily Pivot Point S2 1637.87
Daily Pivot Point S3 1621.76
Daily Pivot Point R1 1690.04
Daily Pivot Point R2 1706.15
Daily Pivot Point R3 1724.18

 

 

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