|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to test record $3,100 should the Fed remain materially behind the curve – TDS

Gold jumped from a low of $1,782 at the start of 2022 to a high of $2,070 as Russian-to-Western world tensions peaked in the second week of March, before it fell back towards $1,925 as geopolitical tensions related to the war in Ukraine moderated somewhat. Strategists at TD Securities expect XAU/USD to average $1,863 this year.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD could soon recover its shine

Gold to drift below low-$1,800s by year-end if Fed policy gets much more aggressive 

“Based on the pattern of market behaviour over the last several years, we see considerable volatility and expect the yellow metal to average about $1,863 this year.”

“Average prices are likely to be highest in the latter part of H1-2022 as inflation stays at multi-decade highs, economic growth wanes and the Fed is seen as being behind the curve.”

“The outlook deteriorates in the latter part of the year as central bank policy gets much more aggressive in their fight against inflation, which should see price the yellow metal drift to modestly below low-$1,800s by year-end.”

“If the Fed does not become restrictive, the yellow metal can test the record $3,100 (in current dollars) found back in January 1980.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, nears 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair eases in the American afternoon and approaches the 1.1700 mark. The pair surged earlier in the day after the ECB left interest rates unchanged and upwardly revised inflation and growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, nearing Fed’s goal.

GBP/USD returns to 1.3370 after BoE, US CPI

The GBP/USD pair jumped towards the 1.3440 early in the day, following the BoE decision to cut rates, and US CPI data, which was much softer than anticipated. The US Dollar, however, managed to regain the ground lost during US trading hours.

Gold extends its consolidative phase around $4,330

The bright metal cannot attract speculative interest on Thursday, despite central banks announcements and the United States latest inflation update. XAU/USD is stuck around $4,330, confined to a tight intraday range.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady while XRP slides amid mixed ETF flows

Bitcoin eyes short-term breakout above $87,000, underpinned by a significant increase in ETF inflows. Ethereum defends support around $2,800 as mild ETF outflows suppress its recovery. XRP holds above at $1.82 amid bearish technical signals and persistent inflows into ETFs.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ripple holds $1.82 support as low retail demand weighs on the token

Ripple (XRP) is trading between a key support at $1.82 and resistance at $2.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting the lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.