Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD signs last prayer above $1,990 as USD Index refreshes day high


  • Gold price has stretched its downside to near $1,990.00 amid steep recovery in the USD Index.
  • Investors are anticipating a rebound in US inflation figures amid solid labor market conditions.
  • Gold price is declining towards the upward-sloping trendline plotted at $1,885.77.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has extended its downside to near $1,990.00 as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has refreshed the day’s high amid soaring anxiety among the market participants ahead of the release of the United States inflation data. The USD Index has printed a fresh high of 102.23 as investors are anticipating a rebound in US inflation figures amid solid labor market conditions.

Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have extended their losses on hopes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is looking to hike rates further to arrest persistent inflation, portraying a decline in the risk appetite of the market participants. Fed chair Jerome Powell is expected to push rates above 5% as the Unemployment Rate has further dropped. This might continue to force firms to offer higher earnings for acquiring fresh talent.

Contrary to the USD Index, the US Treasury yields have faced pressure. The 10-year US Treasury yields have dropped to near 3.37%.

For further guidance, Wednesday’s US inflation data will be keenly watched. Moderation in the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) is highly expected as gas prices remained lower in March due to weak oil prices. The core inflation that excludes oil and gas prices is expected to show a surprise upside as average earnings by households are highly solid.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is declining towards the upward-sloping trendline plotted from March 15 low at $1,885.77 on an hourly scale. The precious metal has surrendered the psychological support of $2,000.00.

A bear cross, represented by the 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $2,011.43, indicates more weakness ahead.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which conveys that the downside momentum is in action.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1990.36
Today Daily Change -17.46
Today Daily Change % -0.87
Today daily open 2007.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1962.7
Daily SMA50 1898.83
Daily SMA100 1862.26
Daily SMA200 1787.74
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2021.5
Previous Daily Low 2000.93
Previous Weekly High 2032.11
Previous Weekly Low 1949.83
Previous Monthly High 2009.88
Previous Monthly Low 1809.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2008.79
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2013.64
Daily Pivot Point S1 1998.67
Daily Pivot Point S2 1989.51
Daily Pivot Point S3 1978.1
Daily Pivot Point R1 2019.24
Daily Pivot Point R2 2030.65
Daily Pivot Point R3 2039.81

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.0850 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.0850 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades in negative territory at around 1.0850 after closing modestly lower on Thursday. In the absence of macroeconomic data releases, investors will continue to pay close attention to comments from Federal Reserve officials.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD holds above 1.2650 following earlier decline

GBP/USD holds above 1.2650 following earlier decline

GBP/USD edges higher after falling to a daily low below 1.2650 in the European session on Friday. The US Dollar holds its ground following the selloff seen after April inflation data and makes it difficult for the pair to extend its rebound. Fed policymakers are scheduled to speak later in the day.

GBP/USD News

Gold climbs to multi-week highs above $2,400

Gold climbs to multi-week highs above $2,400

Gold gathered bullish momentum and touched its highest level in nearly a month above $2,400. Although the benchmark 10-year US yield holds steady at around 4.4%, the cautious market stance supports XAU/USD heading into the weekend.

Gold News

Chainlink social dominance hits six-month peak as LINK extends gains

Chainlink social dominance hits six-month peak as LINK extends gains

Chainlink (LINK) social dominance increased sharply on Friday, exceeding levels seen in the past six months, along with the token’s price rally that started on Wednesday. 

Read more

Week ahead: Flash PMIs, UK and Japan CPIs in focus – RBNZ to hold rates

Week ahead: Flash PMIs, UK and Japan CPIs in focus – RBNZ to hold rates

After cool US CPI, attention shifts to UK and Japanese inflation. Flash PMIs will be watched too amid signs of a rebound in Europe. Fed to stay in the spotlight as plethora of speakers, minutes on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures