Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD shifts its business above $2,020 as Fed to remain steady on interest rates


  • Gold price is comfortably shifted above 2,020.00 amid rising bets for a steady Fed monetary policy.
  • A slowdown in the hiring process by US firms has scaled expectations of an unchanged Fed policy towards north.
  • Gold price is marching towards the horizontal resistance plotted from 08 March 2022 high at $2,070.54.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has shifted its auction profile comfortably above $2,020.00 in the early Asian session. The precious metal delivered a decisive break above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00 on Tuesday after the release of weak Job Openings data confirmed that the United States labor market is cooling-off and the Federal Reserve (Fed) would prefer to adopt a neutral stance on interest rates.

As per the CME Fedwatch tool, the chances of an unchanged policy have scaled near 59%.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has refreshed its monthly low at 101.45 and more losses are in pipeline as policy divergence of the Fed with central banks would trim ahead. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures are adding gains in early Tokyo after a negative Tuesday, indicating a recovery in the risk-taking capacity of the market participants.

Investors will keep an eye on oil prices, as the only measure, which could impact the upside rally in the Gold price. Higher oil prices would stimulate global inflation as factory owners would pass on the impact of costly oil to end users. This could trigger some recovery in expectations for the continuation of a policy-tightening spell by the Fed.

Going forward, US Employment and ISM Services PMI data will remain in the spotlight. According to the consensus, the US economy has added fresh 200K jobs in March than the former additions of 242K.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is marching towards the horizontal resistance plotted from the 08 March 2022 high at $2,070.54 on a daily scale. Intermediate support is placed from March 20 high at $2,009.88.

Upward-sloping 10-and 20-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,984.00 and $1,956.12 respectively, indicate that the bullish momentum is extremely strong.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, showing active upside momentum.

Gold daily chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2021.84
Today Daily Change 37.35
Today Daily Change % 1.88
Today daily open 1984.49
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1933.15
Daily SMA50 1894.13
Daily SMA100 1854.91
Daily SMA200 1784.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1990.55
Previous Daily Low 1949.83
Previous Weekly High 1987.7
Previous Weekly Low 1944.08
Previous Monthly High 2009.88
Previous Monthly Low 1809.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1974.99
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1965.39
Daily Pivot Point S1 1959.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 1934.24
Daily Pivot Point S3 1918.64
Daily Pivot Point R1 2000.08
Daily Pivot Point R2 2015.68
Daily Pivot Point R3 2040.8

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD drops toward 1.0950 on tepid risk sentiment

EUR/USD drops toward 1.0950 on tepid risk sentiment

EUR/USD is seeing a fresh selling wave toward 1.0950 in the European session on Wednesday, as the US Dollar resumes upside amid lingering Chinese economic concerns and the Middle East escalation. The focus now stays on the ECB/ Fed-speak and the FOMC Minutes. 

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD sits at multi-week low below 1.3100, awaits FOMC minutes

GBP/USD sits at multi-week low below 1.3100, awaits FOMC minutes

GBP/USD is trading close to multi-week lows below 1.3100 in the European trading hours on Wednesday. The US Dollar adds to recent gains amid risk aversion, awaiting the Fed Minutes for a fresh directional impetus in the pair. 

GBP/USD News
Gold price struggles to lure buyers as smaller Fed rate cut bets underpin USD

Gold price struggles to lure buyers as smaller Fed rate cut bets underpin USD

Gold price remains under some selling pressure for the sixth successive day on Wednesday and is currently placed just above a three-week low, around the $2,605-2,604 region touched the previous day. 

Gold News
Bitcoin shows signs of weakness

Bitcoin shows signs of weakness

Bitcoin is hovering at a critical support level, and a drop below it could signal a downturn, while Ethereum and Ripple are approaching important resistance levels, where a rejection might indicate a shift towards bearish momentum.

Read more
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.

Read more
Five best Forex brokers in 2024

Five best Forex brokers in 2024

VERIFIED Choosing the best Forex broker in 2024 requires careful consideration of certain essential factors. With the wide array of options available, it is crucial to find a broker that aligns with your trading style, experience level, and financial goals. 

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures