|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rises on geopolitical tensions and yield curve recession but downside risks remain – TDS

Gold has held strong as what appeared to be notable progress on ceasefire talks has since been walked back. Nonetheless, strategists at TD Securities highlight the downside risks that are still in place for the yellow metal.

Gold will have to contend with macro outflows associated with a hawkish Fed

“Headlines suggest Russia is even sending new forces, further emboldening the safe-haven flows into precious metals. At the same time, the 2y-10y curve flirting with inversion has further fueled talk of recession on the horizon.” 

“While geopolitical tensions and yield curve recession signals re-ignite investor interest in gold, downside risks still remain amid a hawkish Fed backdrop and as negotiators continue to work towards a ceasefire.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks to regain the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD regains some balance and trade just above 1.1600 the figure ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The pair initially dipped to the 1.1530 zone for the first time since November, always following the stronger US Dollar and the marked flight-to-safety in the context of the ongoing Middle East crisis
 

GBP/USD slips below key averages as geopolitical risks mount

GBP/USD fell about 0.35% on Tuesday, settling around 1.3350 after slipping below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average for the first time since early December. The pair has pulled back sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870, shedding over 500 pips in a series of lower highs and lower lows. 

Gold falls to near $5,100 as inflation fears weigh amidst Middle East conflict

Gold price faces some selling pressure near $5,100 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal falls amid a renewed US Dollar demand and dimming prospects for US rate cuts. The US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index report will be published later on Wednesday. 

Ethereum: Whales step up buying as short positions contract

After holding firm heading into the last weekend, Ethereum whales have returned to action, pouncing on the volatility stemming from escalating military actions between the US and Iran.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.