Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD pokes weekly resistance near $1,800 on softer US Dollar


  • Gold price seesaws around intraday high after bouncing off one-week low the previous day.
  • US Dollar fades recovery moves from six-month low amid year-end sluggish markets, softer US data.
  • US Core PCE Price Index appears the key for XAU/USD traders amid hawkish Fed concerns.
  • Mixed headlines from China, light calendar elsewhere favor Gold buyers.

Gold price (XAU/USD) grinds higher towards $1,800, refreshing intraday top near $1,795 by the press time, as a softer US Dollar allows the Gold buyers to keep the reins during early Monday. In doing so, the bright metal extends the previous day’s recovery from a nearly eight-day low amid a sluggish last to the likely dull week.

That said, the US Dollar Index (DXY) prints the first daily loss in three, down 0.18% intraday near 104.58, amid cautious optimism in the market, which in turn teases XAU/USD bulls to return.

In doing so, the DXY struggles to justify the recently hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester and New York Federal Reserve President John Williams. The reason could be linked to Friday’s downbeat prints of the preliminary US PMIs for December, as well as the Fed’s 0.50% rate hike.

Elsewhere, recession fears keep the Gold bears on the table as global central banks defend their hawkish bias amid higher inflation fears. Additionally, mixed concerns surrounding China’s improvement in the Covid conditions also challenge the XAU/USD bulls.

Looking forward, Friday’s US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) - Price Index, expected 4.6% YoY and 5.0% previous readings, will be important for the Gold traders as the same is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.

Gold price technical analysis

Gold struggles to defend the bounce off the $1,780 support confluence, comprising the 100-SMA and a five-week-old ascending trend line.

That said, bullish MACD signals and firmer RSI (14) keep Gold buyers hopeful of crossing the one-week-old descending resistance line, around $1800.

However, an upward-sloping trend line from November 15, close to $1,830 by the press time, will be a tough nut to crack for the Gold buyers.

Alternatively, a downside break of the $1,780 support confluence could quickly drag the Gold price toward the monthly low near $1,765.

Following that, a six-week-long horizontal support area surrounding $1,720 could challenge the Gold bears before highlighting the $1,700 threshold.

Gold price: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1794.72
Today Daily Change 2.48
Today Daily Change % 0.14%
Today daily open 1792.24
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1773.9
Daily SMA50 1719.35
Daily SMA100 1720.72
Daily SMA200 1787.06
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1794.31
Previous Daily Low 1774.36
Previous Weekly High 1824.55
Previous Weekly Low 1773.83
Previous Monthly High 1786.55
Previous Monthly Low 1616.69
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1786.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1781.98
Daily Pivot Point S1 1779.63
Daily Pivot Point S2 1767.02
Daily Pivot Point S3 1759.68
Daily Pivot Point R1 1799.58
Daily Pivot Point R2 1806.92
Daily Pivot Point R3 1819.53

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures