|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD pivots around $1800, levels to watch – Confluence Detector

With markets reassessing the Fed’s tightening expectations after the US Q3 GDP miss, gold price lacks impetus so far this Friday, pivoting around the $1800 level. The bond market rout extends, with the yield curve flattening in play, which helps put a floor under gold price. The bright metal now looks forward to the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Core PCE index, for fresh trading impulse. Meanwhile, the month-end flows and pre-FOMC cautious trading could influence gold’s performance.

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that gold is trading listlessly below the powerful hurdle at $1802, where the previous high four-hour, Fibonacci 23.6% one-week and SMA5 four-hour converge.

Acceptance above the latter is critical to extending the previous gains towards the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day at $1804.

The next stop for gold bulls is envisioned at $1809, which is the confluence of the previous day’s high, pivot point one-day R1 and Bollinger Band one-day Upper.

The previous week’s high of $1814 will then grab the buyers’ attention.

Further up, the bulls will look to clear a bunch of resistance levels around $1820, which is the intersection of the pivot point one-day R2, pivot point one-month R1 and pivot point one-week R1.

Alternatively, the immediate decline could be capped at $1796, which is the meeting point of the previous low four-hour and SMA5 one-day.

The next significant support is seen at $1793, the convergence of the previous day’s low and SMA200 one-day.

Further south, the confluence of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month and pivot point one-day S1 at $1791-$1790 will be the level to beat for gold bears.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD dips below 1.3350 with bullish momentum losing steam

The British Pound ticks lower against the US Dollar Monday, attempting to close a seven-day rally, as tensions rise again in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the critical points in the peace process between Washington and Tehran. The GBP/USD pair trades near 1.3340 at the time of writing, down from 1.3387 highs last week, although it maintains a near-term bullish trend intact.

EUR/USD trims losses, back to 1.1430

EUR/USD remains under pressure on Monday, although it now manages to trim its earlier losses and return to the 1.1430 zone, down marginally for the day. The pair’s mild pullback comes on the back of modest gains in the US Dollar in quite an apathetic start to the week.

Gold meets resistance around $4,200

Gold comes under fresh downside pressure on Monday, reversing three daily upticks in a row and meeting some initial resistance around the $4,200 mark per troy ounce. Safe-haven demand has shifted toward the US Dollar as renewed tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz weigh on market sentiment, limiting the precious metal's upside.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pull back amid persistent ETF outflows

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing widespread weakness on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) sliding under the $63,000 mark amid ongoing risk aversion.

The US Dollar just beat the Swiss Franc at its own safe-haven game

As the king among safe havens, the Swiss Franc is supposed to benefit from geopolitical shocks such as the Iran war. This time, it didn’t. The Swissie is nearly 6% below January’s peak against the USD after a sharp decline that came along with the war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.