|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hovers near $1,910 with a negative bias, focus on US macros

  • Gold price looks to lose ground toward $1,900 amid US Dollar strengthens.
  • Traders are still pricing in the likelihood of the Fed's policy rates to be higher for an extended period.
  • Upbeat US Treasury yields are contributing support for the potential of the Greenback.

Gold price moves downward, trading lower around $1,910 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) continues to strengthen, partly due to cautious market sentiment and higher US Treasury yields.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers near 106.00 at the time of writing. The index marked its highest level on Monday since November. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note improved to 4.55%, a level that hasn't been observed since October 2007.

Moreover, the likelihood of high-interest rates persisting for a prolonged period is based on the resilience of the United States (US) economy, which is putting pressure on non-yielding assets like Gold.

According to Reuters, both US President Joe Biden and one of his senior advisers have issued warnings regarding the potential ramifications of a federal government shutdown. They expressed concerns that such a shutdown could result in widespread difficulties, including the loss of food benefits for nearly 7 million low-income women and children.

The statement suggests that there was a prior agreement between President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy regarding government spending levels. However, it is noted that the Republican-controlled House of Representatives may attempt to pass significant budget cuts this week.

These proposed cuts would require approval by the Democratic-controlled Senate, which is expected to reject them. If both houses fail to reach an agreement on government spending, it could lead to a partial government shutdown by the following Sunday.

Investors will likely watch the macro releases such as US Consumer Confidence, Durable Goods Orders, Initial Jobless Claims and Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which are scheduled to be released later in the week.

These datasets may provide crucial insights into the inflationary pressures in the US economy and could impact the Fed's monetary policy, which could influence the price of Gold.

XAU/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1914.19
Today Daily Change-1.53
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1915.72
 
Trends
Daily SMA201925.75
Daily SMA501929.25
Daily SMA1001941.21
Daily SMA2001926.19
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1927.27
Previous Daily Low1915.2
Previous Weekly High1947.47
Previous Weekly Low1913.95
Previous Monthly High1966.08
Previous Monthly Low1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1919.81
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1922.66
Daily Pivot Point S11911.52
Daily Pivot Point S21907.33
Daily Pivot Point S31899.45
Daily Pivot Point R11923.59
Daily Pivot Point R21931.47
Daily Pivot Point R31935.66

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD recovers

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and declines toward 1.1700 on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the US Dollar benefits from the cautious market stance, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.